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+1051 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
WIN @
This horse has an easy win and a half length 2nd in 2 runs over c&d for this jockey and should be favourite for this Apprentice race in my opinion so the 4/1 looks on the generous side. The narrow 2nd here was also on ground that would've been too lively so this slightly softer ground is sure to suit. The 3rd of 13 on seasonal reappearance for a very inexperienced jockey last time out should have put him spot on for this and I'd expect him to go very close here.
EW @
Squealer has spent the Winter racing in Bahrain (and running some very good races) so this 4yo (and c&d winner) arrives here in good heart and has arguably had a better prep than most of these. His 2nd to Brazen Bolt for example would give him every chance off this mark and he's also beaten that one before, all of which shows that the collateral form is strongly suggesting that this horse should be nowhere near a 33/1 outsider.
EW @
It isn't beyond the realms of possibility that this 66/1 rank outsider can run into the places here and is surely overpriced. She's been 3rd and 4th in a couple of Group 2 races where she split horses rated around 100 on both occasions which suggests she's no forlorn hope off 92 in this handicap. She's more lightly raced than most of these too and has a more progressive profile. She's been in Meydan so far this year and could well surprise now that she's back over here . I like the jockey but he doesn't have a great course record but at 66/1, I think it's worth a small e/w bet
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.