Rosler

Manchester City fan.Casual punter on football,horses and like the odd hand of poker!

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Rosler's Tips History

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12 May 2024
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

No Surrender

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Over this type of trip at Newcastle it can pay to lead or sit behind the lead and No Surrender has raced that way including when making all in a Novice race over todays trip at Leicester last summer, he has only raced twice since and if coming on from his last run where he finished last he could go well at a price. Hes only had 2 runs on the AW finishing 2nd and 3rd
15:30 3:30 Longchamp

Henry Longfellow

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

All eyes on Henry Longfellow for today and with the big races in the next few months, Henry Longfellow is unbeaten in 3 runs , all at the curragh, last time out winning a big purse National Stakes at the Curragh with the 2nd that day Islandsinthestream winning a big pot at Longchamps next time out.  A classy race and hopefully a classy winner
15:15 3:15 Plumpton

Small Bad Bob

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Small Bad Bob can lead them along and that often works at Plumpton in this type of race , he will have competition for the lead but he won this race last year, led then lost the lead then kept on again. This is only his 4th start over fences and interesting new yard try to win the same race he won last year. Yard have won 2 of their last 6 sent to post in the last week
11 May 2024
17:20 5:20 Leicester

Ant Colony

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

Ant Colony ran in a maiden and finished 6th at Newbury where the form is working out extremely well, with the 2nd and 4th winning since and the 3rd 6th and 7th all finishing second next time out in decent races. Obviously has to run his own race here but could go on to bigger things after this
08 May 2024
13:30 1:30 Chester

Auric

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

This looks like a good race for a Class 3 and with loads of early pace on I'm hoping Auric can arrive late to play a part. He won a 6 runner Novice Stakes in early April and the 4th 5th and 6th have all won next time out. He then finished 2nd last time out with the 4th coming out and winning since. Hugo Palmer does well at Chester with an 18.5% strikerate in the last year and works out at about 21 pound profit to 1 pound Stakes if you backed all those runners
06 May 2024
15:20 3:20 Down Royal

Ottoman Style

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Ottoman Styles last run was a beginners chase 6 months ago where he finished 4th, with the first 3 all winning decent pots between them since including Pinkerton who won at the Punchestown Festival last week. He won 3 times over hurdles all over longer trips so step up in distance will surely suit
05 May 2024
17:35 5:35 Salisbury

Young Merlin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Young Merlin won 3 Times over hurdles last season and returned this season with a decent 3rd on the flat. The yard are in decent form with a 24% strikerate in the last fortnight and jockey Fredrik Larson even better with 3 wins from 11 rides (27%)
14:05 2:05 Hamilton

Simple Star

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Simple star won 3 last year and finished 2nd twice in a good run of form and returned to action with a decent 2nd to destinado last time out. One of the wins last year was at this track and gets stacks of weight all round despite going up 2lbs for last time out. Steps up in trip but has run well over further
03 May 2024
18:10 6:10 Newcastle

Queens Guard

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.10

Lose

-50

I think this should be pretty straight forward for Queens Guard who finished second last time out to Dyrholaey who was completing a hattrick. Queens Guard was beaten a neck but finished near 5 lengths ahead of 3rd. She was entered in Group 2 and listed events last season and could have decent targets this year too
01 May 2024
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Better Days Ahead

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

This looks a quality race and you wouldn't be surprised if any of the runners won but Better Days Ahead won the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham and while that was over 2 and a half mile it was a good staying in performance and has won his maiden over todays trip. Danny Gilligan keeps the ride and should go close
14:50 2:50 Ascot

Got To Love A Grey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Two time Listed winner last year one at chantilly in the summer but then disappointed there last time out . Yardbare operating at 28% strikerate in the last weeks and jockey Pierre Louis Jamim is 33% in the same period
14:30 2:30 Punchestown

Joyau De Thaix

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@26.00

Lose

-50

Paul Nolan probably has a decent chance too with Park of Kings but Joyau De Thaix is a winner of a maiden and had only 4 runs over hurdles, all on Heavy going so the rain today could aide his cause. He finished 4th in a valuable Listed race last time out at Fairyhouse over a longer trip but could be suited be the drop back today, Each Way chance
29 April 2024
19:20 7:20 Naas

Snellen

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Snellen had a blistering start to her career winning a maiden before winning the Listed Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot. Things didn't go to plan after that but she has big entries including the Irish 1000 guineas and the yard are going well
27 April 2024
18:20 6:20 Ripon

Banderas

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Michael Bell was complimentary of this horse before he made his debut and he probably had a mixed season last year but he ran well to finish second in a decent maiden at Newbury on turf debut before winning a decent pot at Chester. He disappointed backnat that track in handicap debut with a step up in distance but back to 1 and a half mile might suit and he shouldn't mind the soft going. Each Way player
25 April 2024
18:52 6:52 Wexford

Shadow Rider

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.88

Win

94

Padraig Roche is in decent form with 2 winners and 2 seconds from his last 6 sent to post and Shadow Rider is his only runner today, he steps in to veteran company and is one of three 10 year olds in the race but has been keeping good company outside of this discipline, he finished 2nd last time out in a Listed hurdle and had Chosen Witness in 4th behind him who went over to Ayr to score for Willie Mullins since. Shadow Rider is probably a better hurdler than chaser but he did win over fences for Willie Mullins and has a favourites chance here
15:35 3:35 Perth

Milo Lises

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

Willie Mullins had a mixed day in search of British Trainers championship and has 2 runners at Perth today with Milo Lises looking his best chance now he opened his account. He won over hurdles for the first time, that was under todays rider Brian Hayes but possibly his best run was 2nd in the valuable bumper at Punchestown last year where 6 of the runners that day have won races since and ran at some of the good festivals. If retaining that ability he will be one to follow during the summer starting today
23 April 2024
16:45 4:45 Tipperary

He Fitz In

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Win

20

Has to bounce back from a blip last time but he was consistent before that with a number of placings and a win at Limerick where he had 3 of these behind him. Danny Mullins rode him that day hut Shane O Callaghan rides today who has 1 win and 3 placed rides from 5 runs
21 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Musselburgh

Soowaih

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Soowaih has a good few things going for him given he is unexposed turf and at the distance but he should gey this trip on pedigree. Jim Goldie has already had a winner on this card and has Saffie Osborne on board who is riding well, about 25% win rate in the last fortnight
20 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Surrey Quest

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Win

175

Some decent staying types win this race, Kittys Light won it last year before winning the Bet365 Gold Cup and latterly doing well in the Grand National. Surrey Quest mightnt be that good but would have been bought with these valuable staying handicaps in mind and is unexposed, having just 6 runs over fences, winning twice both for this yard. I like Kevin Brogan as a jockey and with ground conditions to suit could run a big race
14:40 2:40 Newbury

Army Ethos

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Archie Watson isnt really firing at the minute but I suspect that with a recent run, Army Ethos could go well today in a valuable pot. He was turned over at long odds on on the Allweather last time out but the winner could be decent. Army Ethos won on debut before finishing a tight second in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot with a number of next time out winners from that race and Aidan O Briens winner finished 3rd in the Group 1 Prix De Morny. Good draw in my eyes today and could go well
14:15 2:15 Bangor on Dee

Grain Doudairies

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.38

Lose

-50

A short price to follow up his breakthrough success over jumps but could go off even shorter, Grain Doudairies won a novice hurdle here 18 months ago, then has won a handicap hurdle since and a handicap chase last time out, hit with a 10 pound rise for that but might have more progression in him yet
14:10 2:10 Curragh

Jalaybee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Dermot Weld hasn't sent many out this year and only has one entered today, Jalaybee could appreciate the Heavy going, having caught the eye finishing 5th of 20 on heavy last time out at Cork. He has ran 5 times, placed in 3 including when 2nd here on debut on Heavy and 2nd to Givemethebeatboys at Navan with 5 of the 12 runners that day going on to win races, Each Way chance off a low weight
19 April 2024
20:07 8:07 Ballinrobe

Swingin Safari

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 19/04 at 08:010.10 deduction for El Cairos@7.00 withdrawn at 09:250.00 deduction for Chuck Bass @67.000 withdrawn at 10:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.1) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

20

Taking a chance here on Swinging Safari for Sam Curling, who won this race last year with a horse then sold on to Harry Fry, the year before this race was won by Hansard so it can throw up a decent sort. Harry Swan rides this Walk in the Park and he is 2 wins from his last 4 rides and claims a valuable 5 pound
13:20 1:20 Ayr

Primoz

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.50

Win

255

Hard to gauge Primoz and if this opening mark is lenient or not but he bolted up in a course and distance maiden with the 2nd that day winning twice since and the 3rd winning next time out. Primoz then disappointed in next 2 starts but one of those was a valuable pot won by Kamsinas so it underlines what the yard think of this horse. Lucinda Russell Yard has gone quiet but they like this meeting and I'm hoping he can bounce back to form
18 April 2024
17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Love De Vega

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

With 4 places on offer could be worth chancing one at a price, low drawn horses have been slightly preferred at this meeting even if they run centre and Love De Vega is drawn 4, a typical Johnston horse could try and force the pace which is another positive for his chances. He has won twice on the All weather in recent months and could back that up back on turf
14:32 2:32 Ripon

See The Green

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

25

Owen Burrows probably doesn't have the firepower he used to and hasn't had any runners in the last 2 weeks so it's hard to gauge how the yard is but his horses generally come on for the run and See The Green ran too green on debut 17 days ago on the AW in a slightly higher class than today, if coming on for the run then could be involved in the business end. Owen Burrows has only had 6 runners at Ripon in his career with 2 winners and 2 places
13:30 1:30 Cheltenham

Emotivo

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

330

There is a fair few interesting runners here including Henry de Bromheads Emotivo. She didn't pull up any trees on the flat and has only had 3 runs over hurdles but her last run was at Hereford and she finished 2 and a half lengths behind today's rival Spiced rum and now has a 6 pound swing with that one today. Plenty of other horses in todays field with chances but Emotivo could have a big run in her
16 April 2024
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Burning Cash

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

I always like a Paul Midgely sprinter and Burning Cash is another one of those, all his races have been over this sort of trip with all 3 of his wins too. Returned to auction this season with a decent 2nd on the AW before disappointing last time but I think that's factored into his price today and is capable of a better run today under Jason Hart who rides for the first time
14 April 2024
15:15 3:15 Plumpton

Royal Pretender

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

An open race, Royal Pretender will appreciate being reunited with Tom Cannon who has 2 wins, 2 wins and a 3rd from 7 rides when riding him. He hasn't won since 2021, which was at Plumpton but handicapper hasn't eased off on him hut he's now below his last winning mark. His better form is over slightly shorter trips than today's but from this yard that doesn't concern me.
13:47 1:47 Hereford

Fiston De Becon

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.20

Win

60

Only the 3 runners and I'd be keen to take on Toothless with Fiston de Becon who has done well for Olly Murphy since arriving from Ireland winning 2 hurdle races last year and opening his account last time out over fences and at the weights has a decent chance of backing that up with the yard operating at 25% strikerate in the last fortnight and fresh off Grade 1 success yesterday
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree

Good And Clever

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

A fascinating bumper and could be a race to follow but Good and Clever was ultra impressive winning on his only starts, winning by 12 lengths beating Les Destiny Star who himself had already won on debut. Warren Greatrwx is 2 wins from last 10 runners and the wxcelke t James Bowen keeps the ride
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Landrake

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@41.00

Lose

-50

Could be worth risking one at a bigger price here, Landrake was formerly with Gordon Elliot and was decent enough during his Novice campaign winning a maiden and a Novice hurdle, he moved yards and was sent chasing to no effect but returned to hurdling he might be seen in better light and on RPRs and Official ratings over hurdles he is worth another shot
11 April 2024
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Nemean Lion

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

A classy race with a number of horses thay have a chance but we could get a surprise if one of the top 2 don't perform so I'm chancing Nemean Lion who has made rapid progress since arriving from France, where he finished 2nd in a Group 2 on the flat. He has ran 9 times over hurdles for Kerry Lee, winning 4 including the Grade 2 Kingwell hurdle then finished 7th in the Champion hurdle, but to me the step up to 2m4f here will benefit him as was seen in the Lanzarote Hurdle where he finished 2nd in January. A big ask for him to win here but looks set to play a part
10 April 2024
17:20 5:20 Wolverhampton

Hard Solution

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

8 year old now who has stood 82 races, winning 10 and although only of them have been on the AW he won last time out at Southwell and the trainer and jockey are going well , Ruth Carr with a 22% strike rate in the last fortnight and she had a winner yesterday. 
16:10 4:10 Wolverhampton

Chartwells Lady

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

The step up in trip looks set to suit Chartwells Lady who has only had the 4 runs, from 7 furlongs, up to her last run at 1m 2f where she finished 4th of 7 but wasnt disgraced at 25/1. Trainer James Ferguson has had 2 winners and 2 seconds from his last 8 runners
14:15 2:15 Leopardstown

Givemehoperosa

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Win

30

Givemehoperosa is unexposed and has the benefit of a course win here in a maiden last year, that came after a promising 3rd in a big field maiden, both on testing ground which she will face today, She should get loads of pace to aim at and will hopefully be challenging at the finish
09 April 2024
14:45 2:45 Thirsk

Ebony Maw

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 08/04 at 19:520.15 deduction for A Gift Of Love@5.50 withdrawn at 10:530.00 deduction for Bearaway @19.000 withdrawn at 13:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.15) = 14.60

@14.60

Win

60

Class 6 tends to be his level but worth exploring a Class 5 again. He won over 2 miles and 1 mile 5 furlong last season both at Left handed tracks like today and Jason Hart who is in alright form gets the leg up for the first time, warmed up for a season on the turf with a spin on the All weather a few weeks ago and might be there at the end

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