nellberg1

Use OLBG to track my horse bets and to discuss horse racing with likeminded people

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nellberg1's Tips History

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11 May 2024
15:55 3:55 Cork

Dubeyeracingcraic

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Didn't show much on the flat in 3 runs, before being much better over hurdles coming 3rd and 1st. A recent flat run wasn't anything to write home about, but we know that's not his preferred sphere and he'll strip fitter here. You'd like to see money for in it in the lead up to the race, as they're a gambling stable, but still plenty of time for that
15:35 3:35 Lingfield

Remarquee

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-50

Looks to have a great chance here, definite form pick, won on reappearance last year, ground and trip will be fine. I expected her to be odds on
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Lark In The Mornin

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Excellent winner at the festival, producing the performance that many had expected. In that race you normally need loads in hand of the handicapper, so up 8lbs when still so unexposed is unlikely to be his ceiling.
14:40 2:40 Ascot

Merlin The Wizard

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Very progressive last year before running too bad to be true in the cambridgeshire. He was a single figure price for that, and I think he can be forgiven for that. Very interesting if he gets things back on track at a big price
03 May 2024
17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Boss Robin

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@26.00

Lose

-50

Favourite a tough nut to crack, but he's danced every dance in the last few months. Boss Robin is a massive improver, beating Fern's Lock last time out. A repeat of that performance puts him in with a great chance of making the frame
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Flanking Maneuver

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@29.00

Lose

-50

Ran in Bob Olinger's Lawlor's of Naas hurdle, and performed with credit so was always thought highly of. After 2 years out he came back last season to run in 2 novice chases, but not beginners chases he was pitched straight into graded company where he was 3rd in a grade 2 (Grand national fancy Mahler's Mission 2nd) and 3rd in a grade 3 (Journey with me 1st, Limerick Lace 2nd so a strong race). This season he won his beginners with the minimum of fuss, before being campaigned (in my opinion) a bit erractically with a 3 mile grade 1 novice followed by a grade 2 2 mile novice where he had little to no chance vs Blood Destiny and Spillan'e Tower. That 2 mile race was at the beginning on March, he than ran twice more in March at the intermediate trip (including a grade 1) when it was becoming clear he needed a break or ease in grade . 5 weeks off might have helped, but the ease in grade should almost certainly be what was required, and he's now a massive price and he's certainly better than a 134 horse. 
12:00 Thailand Women vs Scotland Women

Scotland Women

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Thailand missing Chantam through injury, makes what was an uphill task almost impoossible . Scotland ranked higher, and winner goes through so will be fully focussed
11 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Diva Luna

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

350

Impressive performance on rules debut, beating a few horses with wins under their belt to come out on top in a listed contest. Plenty here with potential to improve, but she's certainly on the list of those with more to come also, and showed a likeable attitude at Market Rasen
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Irish Blaze

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Improving chaser, and last time out was another step forward against some classy novices. Excellent claimer taking off 7 will be a massive help, looks a big player at a big price
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Its On The Line

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.00

Win

200

Had a tough season, but if he's bounced back from his Cheltenham exertions then he has a great chance here. Classy horse who looked a level above a normal hunter chaser
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Bob Olinger

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.00

Lose

-50

Reformed character this year, travelling excellently through his races and knuckling down well enough to win twice and win "his race" vs Impaire Et Passe last time out when State Man was away and gone. Struggling to see how his old rival can reverse that form here, both been saved for this but Bob comes here in good form, whilst Impaire Et Passe's season has been underwhelming
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Gentlemansgame

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

A bit to find on form, but Mouse Morris doesn't bring them over for a nice day trip away, his record over here is excellent and if he believes this horse is up to the challenge then I'd be inclined to agree. Still pretty unexposed over fences, just 4 runs so far
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Kalif Du Berlais

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Looks the value here if the favourite is still not 100% right. This race will have been the aim for this horse since he joined the Nichols yard, where as the rest of the protaginists had Cheltenham as the aim and many had hard races there
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Grey Dawning

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Looks to be a cut above these here, putting Ginny's Destiny in his place last time out. Il Etait Temps saves his best for Leopardstown, so I think he'll struggle here

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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