bonanzaboy
Stats based favourite backer. Trying to selectively back the fancied runners with a few larger priced runners for good measure. Flat/AW only.
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
bonanzaboy's Tips History
13 May 2024
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton
Billy McGarry
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Win
350
System Qulaifier: Won well last time out and looks worth siding with when considering the yard's record with last time out winners in all weather handicaps (88 runs, 21 wins, 24% strike rate, 27 pt level stakes profit at SP, 31% ROI)
19:55 7:55 Wolverhampton
Reigning Profit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Opened up at prohibitive odds but has since drifted to a backable price. The yard have two runners in ths race and show profit if backing all their all weather handicappers at Wolverhampton but I'm most interested when their runner races off top weight (114 runs, 17 wins, 15% strike rate, 42 pt level stakes profit at SP, 37% ROI)
19:40 7:40 Windsor
Dovena
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran well on her first start for this yard at the end of last season and is taken to buidl upon that effort with today's claiming jockey having been sucessful with this on 2 previous occasions.
19:20 7:20 Wolverhampton
Subsonictoshannon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
19:10 7:10 Killarney
General Clermont
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.00
Void
0
19:05 7:05 Windsor
Siempre Arturo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks worth a bet with the yard showing profit in turf handicaps in 4 of the last 5 seasons and started this season with 3 winners from 12 for a 10% ROI. They espescially do well with their middle distance handicappers (215 runs, 35 wins, 16% strike rate, 46 pt level stakes profit at SP, 21% ROI) and with their runners off a poor finish last time out (102 runs, 13 wins, 13% strike rate, 13 pt level stakes profit at SP, 13% ROI)
18:35 6:35 Windsor
Laoisman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
He has won three times at 6f on good ground and on the all-weather. Won on his latest outing when 11-8fav at Wolverhampton over 6f last month, beating Habooba by 1/2l and latest Wolverhampton form has been boosted; big player again
18:10 6:10 Killarney
Pitwood Road
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
18:05 6:05 Windsor
Cuban Melody
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
137
17:25 5:25 Roscommon
Atbay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
17:10 5:10 Killarney
Park The Giant
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Win
175
16:30 4:30 Windsor
Global Asset
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks like there's overnight support for this one on handicap debut and looks worth siding with considering the trainer/jockey combination has historically shown a minor profit in turf handicaps (385 runs, 83 wins, 22% strike rate, 5 pt level stakes profit at SP, 1% ROI) and also following the yard's handicappers in every handicap run until they break their maiden tag (225 runs, 49 wins, 22% strike rate, 9 pt level stakes profit at SP, 4% ROI)
16:17 4:17 Catterick
Propagation
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Had been running well on the flat before a poor performance in a heavy ground handicap hurdle on his final start of 2023. Can get back on track here with the yard having a good record in turf handicaps during the spring (89 runs, 12 wins, 14% strike rate, 39 pt level stakes profit at SP, 44% ROI) and allso showing a profit with handicappers off the track 2 months or longer (29% ROI)
Twoforthegutter
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 13/05 at 13:430.10 deduction for Night Life@7.00 withdrawn at 16:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.10) = 5.50
@5.50
Lose
-3
15:17 3:17 Catterick
Secret Command
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well off a mark of 54 on handicap debut but subsequently failed to confirm that form off 61 next time out. Steps up into a class 5 today which entitles him to run off a career low weight and looks of interest considering the yard show minor profit in all turf handicaps and have a decent record with runners having had at least a 2 month break (61 runs, 8 wins, 13% strike rate, 41 pt level stakes profit at SP, 67% ROI)
Subtotal159
12 May 2024
20:30 FC Porto v Boavista
FC Porto
FC Porto are hosting Boavista on Sunday. With the 0-3 away win at Chaves, FC Porto went back to winning ways, extending their unbeaten run to 4 matches in the league. Boavista shared the points, bringing their winless run to 7 matches in the league after their 1-1 home draw against Gil Vicente.
1.14b365
1 member found this comment useful
20:00 Nantes v Lille
Lille
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Nantes are hosting Lille on Sunday. With the 0-0 away draw at Brest, Nantes have recorded their second consecutive draw, bringing their winless run to 3 matches in the league. Lille conceded a loss this time in the league after their 3-4 home defeat against Lyon.
1.95bf
20:00 PSG v Toulouse
PSG
Paris SG are hosting Toulouse on Sunday. With the 3-3 home draw against Le Havre, Paris SG shared the points, extending their unbeaten run to 26 matches in the league. Toulouse have ended a 5-match unbeaten run in the league after their 1-2 home defeat against Montpellier.
1.40b365
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Kings Lynn
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran well on heavy going last time out and races off the same mark today with Oisin Murphy now on board. The yard have a good record in all weather handicaps at Newcastle (84 runs, 16 wins, 19% strike rate, 28 pt level stakes profit at SP, 33% ROI) and are currently running at 16% ROI in such races this season.
Misty Grey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
240
Winner of six races from 6f to 7f including 5 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Third of 15 behind Poet Master beaten 2 1/2l at 10-1 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 7f (good) last month. Reliable sort with a good record on AW.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle
Longlai
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks interesting after a narrow defeat on his first start in almost a year at Chelmsford 6 weeks ago. A similar effort would see him go close here and the yard have a good record in all weather handicaps at Newcastle (79 runs, 15 wins, 19% strike rate, 37 pt level stakes profit at SP, 47% ROI)
18:30 Bochum v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
Bochum are hosting Leverkusen on Sunday. With the 3-4 away win at Union Berlin, Bochum have recorded their second consecutive win in the league. Leverkusen went back to winning ways following 2 winless matches, remaining undefeated after 32 matches played this season in the league after their 1-5 away win at E. Frankfurt.
1.75bf
18:00 6:00 Newcastle
God Of Thunder
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Successful twice at 1m 4f on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 5l behind Qaasid when sixth of 18 at 12-1 on his latest outing at Newbury over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month. Back up in trip. Not ruled out.
17:27 5:27 Newcastle
Mafnood
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-3
A winner at 1m. Beaten 5l by Our Golden One when second of 7 at 6-1 on his latest outing at Doncaster over 1m 2f (soft) last month. Makes tapeta debut. Sound place claims again.
17:20 5:20 Leopardstown
Invention
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
17:13 5:13 Ludlow
I Look How I Look
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.75
Lose
-50
Placed in two hurdle races from seven starts. Beaten 8l by Special Dragon when second of 8 at 7-2jt-fav on her latest outing in a hurdle race here over 2m 5f (good) last month.Cheekpieces on 1st time. Merits consideration.
17:05 5:05 Killarney
Light On His Feet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
16:52 4:52 Newcastle
Yeoman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Trying 1m2f for just the second time and looks worth an interest as my top rated runner after a satisfactory reappearance at Lingfield last month. Should strip fitter for that run and remains on a handy mark .
16:38 4:38 Ludlow
Flashy Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
A winner of a point-to-point at 3m, but that win was over two years ago. Finished 12l behind Chris Cool when fourth of 6 at 5-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Huntingdon over 3m 1f (good to soft) in November last year. Having his first run for a new stable today. Market confidence behind him would look significant.
16:30 Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
50 WIN
@1.35
Win
17
16:30 Man Utd v Arsenal
Arsenal
50 WIN
@1.38
Win
19
Manchester Utd are hosting Arsenal on Sunday. With the 4-0 away defeat at Crystal Palace, Manchester United have ended a 4-match unbeaten run, bringing their winless run to 2 matches in the league. Arsenal are on a 4-match winning run in the league after their 3-0 home win against Bournemouth.
16:17 4:17 Newcastle
Sea Legend
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
16:03 4:03 Ludlow
Awesome Foursome
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 12/05 at 09:340.20 deduction for Express Surprise@4.33 withdrawn at 14:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.20) = 4.60
@4.60
Lose
-7
Successful in a hurdle race and a NH flat race at 2m and 2m 4f on good to soft and heavy ground. Third of 14 behind Kick Up A Storm beaten 17l at 12-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Exeter over 2m 7f (good) last month.
Pearl Island
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
15:50 3:50 Plumpton
Martin Spirit
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Winner over fences in France and, having had a wind op, opened his hurdles account with a comfortable success over C&D in March. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Kempton (16f, good) 20 days ago. C&D winner in March and returns here with good 5lb claimer booked
15:20 3:20 Killarney
Duffle Coat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
15:15 Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
System Qualifier: This football selection was derived from a stats based approach and met a specific set of qualifying criteria predominantly revolving around chance creation data. 1.44L
15:00 3:00 Leopardstown
Knight To King
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Power Under Me
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.00
Lose
-50
14:53 2:53 Ludlow
Regal Renaissance
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 12/05 at 09:280.10 deduction for Royale Margaux@9.00 withdrawn at 14:090.10 deduction for Great Snow @9.000 withdrawn at 14:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.2) = 4.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.20 BOG
@5.50
Win
3
Resumed winning ways over hurdles at Chepstow in March and backed it up with a good second of 9 in handicap hurdle at Wincanton (21.4f, heavy) 46 days ago. Goes chasing now and needs considering. Reliable hurdler at about this distance and she has a very solid record at this course
13:30 Ajax v Almere City FC
Almere City FC
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
This match could be closer than the odds suggest with the home team picking up 13 points from their last 8 games (winning 3) and the away team 6 points from 8 games (only losing 2)
13:30 FC Twente v FC Volendam
FC Twente
50 WIN
@1.06
Win
3
13:30 Fortuna Sittard v PSV
PSV
50 WIN
@1.25
Lose
-50
13:30 Heerenveen v Vitesse
Heerenveen
50 WIN
@1.45
Lose
-50
Heerenveen are hosting Vitesse Arnhem on Sunday. With the 1-1 away draw at Almere City, SC Heerenveen shared the points, bringing their winless run to 2 matches in the league. Vitesse Arnhem have lost their last 4 away matches in the league after their 1-0 away defeat at FC Utrecht.
13:00 BK Hacken v Kalmar FF
BK Hacken
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Home team are playing well at present winning 4 of their last 5 while the away team have lost 5 from 7 so far
12:30 St Pauli v VfL Osnabruck
St Pauli
Sankt Pauli are hosting Osnabruck on Sunday. With the 1-0 away defeat at Hamburger SV, Sankt Pauli have ended a 2-match unbeaten run in the league. Osnabruck conceded a loss this time, bringing their winless run to 4 matches in the league after their 0-4 home defeat against Schalke 04.
Subtotal-214
11 May 2024
20:25 8:25 Leicester
Isle of Wolves
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.75
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks a strong betting proposition here as the yard have shown profit in turf handicaps in all of the last 3 seasons and this is their only runner at the meeting. Comes out clear top of my ratings and should go close.
Rita Rana
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Possibly worth a small each way play with the yard whowing profit in turf handicaps with their runners that had a run in the last 28 days (8% ROI) and when digging a little deeper, all the profit is made in class 6 company (119 runs, 22 wins, 19% strike rate, 39% placed, 36 pt level stakes profit at SP, 30% ROI)
20:00 Athletic Bilbao v Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
18:55 6:55 Leicester
Valtellina
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks of interest today as the yard's only runner at the meeting and they have a good record in turf handicaps during the spring (79 runs, 20 wins, 25% strike rate, 11 pt level stakes profit at SP, 15% ROI). Made a satisfactory reappearance on the all weather last month and is entitled to improve for that run.
18:25 6:25 Leicester
Gordon Grey
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.50
Void
0
System Qualifier: Has been running consistently and could have a decent chance here with the favourite having shot up in the weights following 3 wins in his last 4 races. This one is another from Ben Brookhouse's yard and followers will know I'm a fan of the yard with their good record in turf handicaps (53 runs, 10 wins, 19% strike rate, 38 pt level stakes profit at SP, 72% ROI)
18:00 Estoril v Sporting
Sporting
17:30 Granada v Real Madrid
Real Madrid
17:15 5:15 Nottingham
Oak Allye
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Possibly has a chance on his first start for this yard having ran his best race 3 starts ago at Naas over 5f. That was off 3lbs higher while also being 3lbs out of the handicap so should find today's task a little easier and seems to be attracting some early market support.
16:55 4:55 Ascot
Habooba
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Has been running consistently well in class 4 races and comes into today's race off 1lb higher. Oisin Murphy retains the ride after a narrow defeat on the all weather last time out and has potential to get involved at big odds on turf debut.
16:45 4:45 Lingfield
Quercine
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@10.00
Void
0
System Qualifier: Ran 3 nice races in maiden company before an underwhelming run on handicap debut when switched to turf last time out. Probably inconvenienced by the going on that occasion and is worth another chance considering the yard show profit across all their turf handicappers (21% ROI).
16:20 4:20 Ascot
Ciara Pearl
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Yet to be out of the frame in 6 career starts, winning 4, and looks worth keeping on side while she's on an upward trajectory. The yard have shown profit in turf handicaps in 4 of the last 5 seasons and tend to do well with their 4yo runners (81 runs, 17 wins, 21% strike rate, 59 pt level stakes profit at SP, 73% ROI) with their fillies also producing a nice profit in turf handicaps (134 runs, 26 wins, 19% strike rate, 53 pt level stakes profit at SP, 39% ROI)
15:50 3:50 Haydock
Poet Master
Daily Racing
25 EW
@2.75
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Taking this one as a saver against my main selection as my top rated runner in the race with the yard showing profit across all their non-handicap runners when sent off as market favourite (299 runs, 121 wins, 41% strike rate, 7 pt level stakes profit at SP, 2% ROI)
Witch Hunter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: I'll be having a saver on the favourite, resoning explined in my other tip, but I can see more potential value in this one at a bigger price. The yard have a good record in non-handicaps during the spring (1052 runs, 181 wins, 17% strike rate, 125 pt level stakes profit at SP, 12% ROI) and have their best strike rate when their runners are fitted with cheekpieces (16%) above all other forms of headgear and no headgear at all.
15:45 3:45 Ascot
Global Skies
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks like a yard to follow when they send out a runner on the flat with a decent record starting to form in turf handicaps (53 runs, 10 wins, 19% strike rate, 38 pt level stakes profit at SP, 72% ROI). Ran a decent race off this mark on seasonal reappearance and should benefit from the step up in trip.
Too Bossy For Us
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG
@6.50
Win
275
System Qualifier: Ran a decent race when unfancied in a novice event on the all weather last time out and should take a step forward off what looks a good mark on handicap debut. The yard show profit with their handicappers after a 2+ month break (58 runs, 12 wins, 21% strike rate, 5 pt level stakes profit at SP, 8% ROI) and also when following all their handicappers until they notch their first win (86 runs, 17 wins, 20% strike rate, 44 pt level stakes profit at SP, 51% ROI)
15:30 3:30 Nottingham
Haymaker
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
System Qualifier: Ran a decent race to finish second when sent off 5/4 favourite on seasonal reappearance and should come on for that run. The yard have a good record in handicaps here at Nottingham (72 runs, 12 wins, 17% strike rate, 8 pt level stakes profit at SP, 11% ROI) and also show profit with their handicappers given a 2-4 week break since their last run (3% ROI)
15:30 Portimonense v Rio Ave
Portimonense
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
15:30 Vizela v Estrela Amadora
Vizela
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
15:10 3:10 Ascot
Hallasan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: This one looks like banker material after being well supported on debut and likely to take a big step forward here. Comes out comfortably clear on top of my ratings, the yard show marginal profit in non-handicaps during the spring (1% ROI), and also when teaming up with William Buick in non-handicaps (1% ROI)
15:00 Tottenham v Burnley
Burnley
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: This football selection was derived from a stats based approach and met a specific set of qualifying criteria predominantly revolving around chance creation data.
15:00 West Ham v Luton
West Ham
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
14:55 2:55 Nottingham
Emily Post
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Not a terribly confident selection with the yard's runners tending to improve with a recent run so there's a chance this one will be worth a bet next time out. Nevertheless, a small play might be worthwhile with some good handicap form shown last season, narrowly beaten off a mark of 74 on her final start of last year and races off just 2lbs higher today and persists with a hood, a form of headgear the yard excel with in turf handicaps (66 runs, 10 wins, 15% strike rate, 57 pt level stakes profit at SP, 86% ROI)
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Jumby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: I want this one on side in addition to my main selection with the yard having a good record in turf handicaps during the spring (360 runs, 46 wins, 13% strike rate, 50 pt level stakes profit at SP, 14% ROI). Won a nice group 3 race at Haydock last summer but this will be his highest mark he's raced off in handicap company so looks one to temper expectations with.
1 member found this comment useful
The Wizard Of Eye
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.50
Win
425
System Qualifier: This one has raced mainly in group company but tries his luck in a handicap for just the third time today. The yard tend to target handicaps well and have shown profit in 7 of the last 10 seasons producing an overall profit of 155pts @ 21% ROI. Runs in cheekpieces today and the yard have had 19 winners from 100 handicap runners when using them for +30pts at SP.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
14:10 2:10 Haydock
Bravo Zulu
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: This one comes from an underrated yard and they have a good record in handicaps here at Haydock (22 runs, 5 wins, 23% strike rate, 6 pt level stakes profit at SP, 28% ROI). Needs to step up on his underwhelming handicap debut at Newmarket last month but looks worth a chance as my top rated runner in the race.
13:50 1:50 Lingfield
Global Heat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran some good races in 2021-2022 before possibly being curtailed by the handicapper and struggling when running off a mark of 100+. Back down to a mark of 97 today and should be fine coming into this after a couple of winter runs in Dubai. The yard tend to have their best strike rate in middle distance handicaps (20%) returning a 10% profit at SP after 498 runs and also show a 9% profit with runners returning after 2+ months off the track.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Maso Bastie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Not massively confident on this one but think it's worth a small play. The yard have had 6 winners from 68 runs in handicaps at Ascot (9% strike rate) producing a profit of 16pts @ 24% ROI. They're also running at close to break even with all handicap runners on their seasonal reappearance (1% ROI) and this gelding won on his first start of 2023.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Lingfield
First Officer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks a value play against the favourite and should go well after a nice win last time out. The yard have their best strike rate in handicap races during the spring (14%) showing a profit at SP of 63% and also have a decent record when using claiming jockeys in turf handicaps (143 runs, 17 wins, 12% strike rate, 24 pt level stakes profit at SP, 17% ROI)
1 member found this comment useful
12:30 Fulham v Man City
Man City
Subtotal25
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
