Simbad007

Specialise in finding value in feature handicaps

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

Simbad007's Tips History

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13 May 2024
19:45 7:45 Killarney

Romeo Magico

Daily Racing

65 WINNB

@2.25

Lose

-65

Has the best form in this race finishing 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters LTO that was after comfortably winning a hunter chase @Down Royal. This 6 year old has scope for more improvement.
16:05 4:05 Hereford

Kick Up A Storm

Daily Racing

75 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-75

Improved for the step up in trip when winning on handicap debut @Exeter LTO pulling clear with the runner up who has franked the form by winning recently. Surely has more to offer from this rating even though 11lbs higher.
12 May 2024
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Dare To Hope

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

This 4 year old at the right end of the weights with a good high draw may have more to offer in handicaps especially on AW after a gutsy 5f win @Beverley on the comeback. 4lbs higher which has to be manageable and ran ok here on only other visit when getting no luck in running.
16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

Complete Fiction

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Won here after a break last season before a close 2nd here and another win @Galway. 5lbs higher again here but stable amongst winners and looks good value.
16:25 4:25 Plumpton

Yalla Habibi

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-60

Progressive for new yard winning a maiden before a handicap debut win @Kempton over 2m. That was likely decent form and the step up in trip here should unlock more improvement.
14:25 2:25 Leopardstown

One Look

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.10

Lose

-100

Unbeaten in 2 starts for the Twomey yard and the better ground here and the step up to a mile should realise the full potential of this horse. Beat Cherry Blossom last year who has already won a listed race this season.
11 May 2024
19:05 7:05 Warwick

Uggy Uggy Uggy

Daily Racing

40 EW

@5.00

Win

192

Has won here in past and will relish the decent ground on 2nd start for the in form Burke stable. Ran well LTO at the Cheltenham April meeting over this trip just fading late but this sharper track will play to strengths from the same mark.
16:00 4:00 Hexham

Whosmydaddy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Stable now red hot and this PTP winner has won his first 2 chases and another 7lb rise looks workable considering the class of race. More to come.
15:50 3:50 Haydock

Poet Master

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Improving sort with winning form here who beat Percy's Lad on the comeback who franked the form by winning @Chester impressively yesterday making all in class 2 handicap.
15:45 3:45 Ascot

Midair

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.75

Lose

-50

The 2 novice runs behind Jayrebe and Caviar Heights suggest this horse could be very well handicapped with those 2 horses rated 100+. Not sure how this horse didn't win @Epsom on the comeback but likely will be sharper today especially with the cheek pieces.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Clear White Light

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Match fit from the flat and is only 3lbs higher than when winning a good ground handicap @Doncaster in December by 5l. Looks over priced considering this is the ground he requires and flat horses have a good record in this race.

Lark In The Mornin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

Won the boodles with ease and is likely to be a better horse on decent ground so an 8lb rise should be very workable considering the boodles form has been franked more than once with Harsh winning @Punchestown for example.
15:05 3:05 Naas

Blairmayne

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Loves it here and now 4lbs below last winning mark and shaped nicely @Dundalk LTO on the comeback. Likely been aimed at this race.
15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Imperial Sovereign

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

This Frankel colt offers value against favourites here beating a good horse from the Gosden stable on debut who hacked up by half the track @Southwell recently and then the 2nd @Kempton over this sort of trip looked a strong maiden and he was doing a lot of good work late on.
14:40 2:40 Ascot

Hickory

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

Strong placed efforts here last season in International and Bet365 handicaps. Shaped well on the comeback @Kempton when 2nd from this mark. Should be spot on for this and a low draw could be the place to be on decent ground.
13:35 1:35 Haydock

Party Business

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Relishes decent ground and was 4th in this race last year from 3lbs higher. Had a good prep LTO when 5l behind Zain nights @Cheltenham.
10 May 2024
18:55 6:55 Sedgefield

Leading Force

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 10/05 at 09:530.15 deduction for Hauraki Gulf@5.50 withdrawn at 13:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10

@6.10

Win

153

Just 3rd start over fences and was a good 2nd here on debut over 2m. Stable in better form now with 2 winners @Kelso in week and this trip and ground look ideal and from 3lbs lower surely there is potential to unlock considering this horse has won a 3m PTP
17:50 5:50 Cork

Kings Time

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

600

Stable red hot and this unexposed gelding at the foot of the weights has run well here in a maiden and is only 2lbs higher than winning a handicap @Leopardstown last year over this trip.

Rahmi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Stable excel in these races and this horse shaped like needing the run in the Irish Lincoln beaten 9l when poorly drawn and faced impossible task to make up ground in heavy conditions. Better ground here and if cheek pieces assist must have great chance from same mark.
16:35 4:35 Ascot

The Ice Phoenix

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 10/05 at 09:590.00 deduction for Commander Crouch@34.00 withdrawn at 12:390.00 deduction for Rey De La Batalla @29.000 withdrawn at 13:410.10 deduction for Suspicion @8.500 withdrawn at 16:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.1) = 7.75

@7.75

Win

202

Has had a couple of handicap sighters from this mark this season with LTO a decent 3rd @Newmarket Craven Meeting. Stable in better form now and this horse ran well here in a maiden last season. Billy the kid gets the ride for the first time.
15:50 3:50 Market Rasen

Betty Baloo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Void

0

Loves it here winning last 2 chases and won this race last year. With jockey claim just 2lbs higher than that win and receiving weight from all rivals. Stable amongst flat winners.
15:40 3:40 Chester

Forza Orta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed at this trip but won @York in a competitive 2m class 2 handicap on only attempt to date. Just 3lbs higher here and enjoyed a solid prep @Thirsk on the comeback over shorter.
15:05 3:05 Chester

Passenger

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Win

112

Looks a typical improver from the Stoute yard having only 5th start. Bombed out in Derby last year but bounced back to win the Winter Hill @Windsor. Will enjoy the quicker ground and has likely more to offer this year.
09 May 2024
15:40 3:40 Chester

Alsakib

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Has winning form here and won't mind drying ground. Progressive last season in 12f handicaps and ran well on the comeback 5l behind Hamish in the John Porter @Newbury shaping like he would improve for the run. Likely been aimed at this and if the stamina holds out then big chance.
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15:05 3:05 Chester

Gods Window

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Looks a talented Dubawi colt who was 3rd in the Futurity last season which looks the strongest form here and warmed up for this with an easy maiden win @Nottingham. Should relish the extra distance here.
14:35 2:35 Chester

Never So Brave

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.20

Win

120

Looks a typical Stoute improver and based on the placed efforts in first 2 maidens behind horses now rated 110+ looks chucked in from a mark of 94. Had an easy comeback maiden win to put him spot on for this.
08 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Kempton

Dark Dreamer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Won here on penultimate start on handicap debut and was unlucky LTO when narrowly denied @Windsor from this mark on soft ground when maybe wasn't suited to making the running. Back here down in grade surely more to come.
18:40 6:40 Fontwell

Aworkinprogress

Daily Racing

75 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.50

Void

0

The name of this horse sums up his form to date but finally showed something LTO on 2nd handicap start when upped in trip. Winning easily @Fontwell and a 6lb rise looks like it won't stop this horse especailly at the foot of the weights here.
15:50 3:45 Kelso

Mighty Moth

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed over hurdles and won a qualifier @Hereford in February in taking fashion so likely been aimed at this final. Had a handicap sighter from this mark LTO when 2nd @Stratford. More to come and the drying ground will definately be a plus looking at the pedigree.
15:40 3:40 Chester

Agenda

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

12

This Galileo colt was 3rd in a big field maiden @Curragh last Autumn over 7f before returning this year @Dundalk over 10f with a commanding victory relishing every yard of the trip in what looked a decent maiden beforehand. May surprise and be best of the Ballydoyle pair.
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Hidden Law

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG

@3.25

Win

112

Won in impressive fashion on 2nd career start @Newbury LTO in class 2 maiden when powering clear looking a very good prospect out of Dubawi & Galileo. Has a Derby entry and should put match fitness to good use here.
14:45 2:40 Kelso

Raceview Road

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed chaser out of the top jumping sire Milan who relish decent ground. 5lb higher for a handicap debut chase win here LTO and this multiple PTP winner should rise up the ratings
13:45 1:40 Kelso

Idem

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Win

270

Won at this track in September and now has his perfect ground now. Ran well in the 3m novice handicap @Ayr when 5th behind Chosen Witness. 1lb lower here in weaker race.
07 May 2024
19:42 7:42 Southwell

Solar System

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Looks a typical McManus improver who won on 2nd handicap start LTO @Fontwell on better ground. 6lbs higher but still at right end of weights and likely more to come over further.
19:20 7:20 Ballinrobe

Zenta

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.73

Lose

-100

High class mare rated 145 over hurdles who was a respectable 7th in the County hurdle on ground which was too soft. Should appreciate this better ground and her easiest assignment since winning the Juvenile hurdle @Aintree last year. Satisfactory chase debut @Cork when 3rd in a Grade 2 before Christmas again on heavy ground and stable runners were needing the run at the time.
17:05 5:05 Ffos Las

Western General

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Push

0

Finally got act together over fences LTO @Taunton and if it wasn't for an overconfident ride would have won easy if not losing momentum at last. 4lbs higher here should be no problem and the galloping track and long straight should really suit this horse.
14:55 2:55 Ffos Las

Jasmin De Grugy

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@2.10

Win

110

Was 2nd to Plasir Des Flos @Wincanton LTO on handicap debut and the front 2 were clear with that horse winning twice since. 8lb rise manageble and this should be a penalty kick.
06 May 2024
16:30 4:30 Down Royal

Ballyphilip

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

225

Prolific in points winning 4 on the bounce and being out of Presenting a top NH jumping sire this is likely a decent prospect for Hunter Chases.
05 May 2024
16:23 4:23 Hamilton

Arkenstaar

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG

@3.00

Win

100

Won here in October just 2lbs higher now and had a good sighter LTO when 3rd @Pontefract on the comeback. At the foot of the weights so should be really hard to beat.
15:40 3:40 Newmarket

Fallen Angel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Looks to have the best form from last season winning the Solera and Moyglare Stakes. Should relish the step up to a mile being out of Too Darn Hot.

Tamfana

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Win

175

Stable have just started to fire in some winners and this horse won convincingly from the front on only attempt over a mile in a maiden. Was 3rd in a group 3 in France on the comeback behind a good horse in Romantic Style over 7f. More to come here.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Struth

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Gelded over the winter and remains unexposed over this trip. Was 4th in the Bet365 Old Rowley Cup here in October. Won first up last season and on 2nd start was 2nd to Saint George over this trip who is now 25lbs higher.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Kalpana

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.62

Lose

-50

Was 2nd to Inisherin on penultimate start who was 6th in the Guineas before hacking up here by 10l on handicap debut. Should put that experience to good use here.
04 May 2024
17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Stoke The Fire

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

75

Unexposed novice for the Mullins team and should appreciate the return to further with the 3rd behind Largy Hill @Thurles looking decent form. The win @Perth last week in a novice over 2m was emphatic never came off the bridle.
17:15 5:15 Newmarket

Rockstar Icon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionDead heat 2 horses sharing 1 placeDH

@23.00

Win

18

Wide open race and this horse could have lots of potential being out of Sixties Icon so this stiff 7f should play to his strengths and was strong at the finish when winning LTO @Lingfield in a novice.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Alyanaabi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Unbeaten on quick ground and being out of Too Darn Hot will relish the step up to a mile here. Beat Boiling Point here in Tattersalls last year with that horse winning yesterday to frank form and was only 3 1/2l behind City of Troy here in the Dewhurst but that was on soft.
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15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Outside The Door

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Has winning form here and is unexposed as a stayer and has nice low weight here. Was a good 2nd @Leopardstown LTO over 3m 4f and was a decent 6th from this mark in the Amatuer Jockey chase @Paddy Power meeting.
14:10 2:10 Thirsk

Danzan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

3lbs lower than last winning mark which was here on soft ground. Has a nice high draw and had a good prep LTO @Ripon when 3rd from 1lb higher.
14:05 2:05 Goodwood

Orchid Bloom

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Has the most potential in this race and relishes soft ground. Unlucky LTO in France when finishing strongly but not quite reaching the winner in a listed race.
03 May 2024
19:40 7:40 Punchestown

I Am Mimi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Stable bumper horses flying all week and this horse on debut was a respectable 6l behind The Enabler on bumper debut here giving that horse 5lbs with that horse going on to win a listed bumper @Navan and then a 5th in grade 2 bumper @Leopardstown.
19:30 7:30 Cheltenham

Law Of Gold

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.00

Lose

-50

Won this race easy by 16l last year and the repeat looks on the card again after strong PTP form winning last 2 beating useful yardsticks and the comeback 2nd behind Tigeronthetail has also been franked.
18:20 6:20 Cheltenham

Fairly Famous

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Relishes decent ground and would have been aimed at this after cruising to victory by 15l here last season. Won a PTP LTO as warm up and still only 7 years old and likely improving.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Brides Hill

Daily Racing

60 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG

@2.88

Win

112

Conditions to suit here loves decent ground and going right handed and stable flying. Unbeaten in 3 starts this season so still fresh and the horse she beat @Huntingdon LTO won a handicap @Cheltenham April meeting to boost form.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Hgranca De Thaix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

600

Unexposed over fences and 4lbs higher for beating Let's Go Champ LTO @Limerick with that horse franking the form big time by winning here on Wednesday. Just 3rd handicap start had a sighter her earlier in season when 12l behind Spillane's Tower in a novice chase.

Tactical Move

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Classy novice who looks well handicapped based on the 2nd to Spillane's Tower @Fairyhouse. Has hurdle winning form here and has also run well in a bumper on decent ground so that could aid improvement.
16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Time Lock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Stable red hot and based on the win here last season in the Group 3 Dubai Stakes on decent ground this looks a high class mare and getting 3lbs from the boys should be hard to beat here.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Boiling Point

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 02/05 at 23:070.00 deduction for Jehangeer@13.00 withdrawn at 07:250.15 deduction for Indian Run @6.000 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.15) = 2.91

@2.91

Win

95

Shaped like needing the run LTO @Craven meeting and with stable in better form now expect this horse to show the form when 2nd here in Tattersalls last year.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Endless Victory

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.00

Lose

-100

Unbeaten in 2 starts and looks a top prospect considering the horse in 3rd behind him here LTO High Order won by half the track @Southwell in the week.

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