Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

2

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£10

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Benaldo1981's Tips

16th May 2024
00:00 CLE Cavaliers @ BOS Celtics

CLE Cavaliers

Money Line

50 WIN

Yeah I know, I know maybe I'm getting greedy but the Cavs have literally won at Boston in this series so I'd make them maybe 4's for the win but 10's is being far too generous. I think they are value and they know they are in the last chance saloon.
00:10 TB Rays @ BOS Red Sox

TB Rays

Money Line

50 WIN

This went to 12 innings last night and the Rays edged the previous match so it is technically a coin flip for me so the Rays are probably just about value at this price. Borderline though.
00:20 CHI Cubs @ ATL Braves

CHI Cubs

Money Line

50 WIN

I think the Cubs are worth a small play here. The Braves are playing much better but Chicago have proved pretty useful too and I didn't think they'd be this price for the win in a pretty even contest.
00:40 NY Yankees @ MIN Twins

NY Yankees

Money Line

50 WIN

Yankees are probably a decent play as one of the form teams in the MLB at the moment so I'm surprised to see them unfancied for this one.
01:05 CLE Guardians @ TEX Rangers

CLE Guardians

Money Line

50 WIN

Guardians look a decent price for the win here. They've outscored the Rangers 14-4 in the two matches so far so I wouldn't have them this price to win again.
02:07 STL Cardinals @ LA Angels

LA Angels

Money Line

50 WIN

I'll take the Angels here, with home advantage, and neither side in the best of form I had LA as the favourites for this.
10:00 Viktoriya Tomova vs Katie Boulter

Viktoriya Tomova

Win Match

50 WIN

I think Tomova looks a good shout to end Boulter's campaign here. She's having a great start to the season on hard court but clay is a different prospect entirely and we could see the number two seed fall here
10:30 Jesika Maleckova vs Anna Karolina Schmiedlova

Jesika Maleckova

Win Match

50 WIN

I think Maleckova has earned the right to be picked again, we were denied a payday with the withdrawal as the underdog in the last round, but I think she can continue to pose problems again here.
12:00 Jule Niemeier vs Zeynep Sonmez

Zeynep Sonmez

Win Match

50 WIN

Sonmez wins more often than not on clay and holds a better record than Niemeier. There's not much between them statistically either so Sonmez holds the value.
14:00 2:00 Salisbury

Katar

Daily Racing

25 EW

14:15 2:15 York

Good Earth

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

GOOD EARTH has been pretty rubbish the last four times but three were over the extended trip of six furlongs and was drawn in the car park when having a poor run here at the end of last season. Returns to five furlongs now and is two pounds lighter than last winning mark. Tends to start well and has a better draw this time, jockey won on it twice last season and looks worth an each-way play.
14:45 2:45 York

Point Lynas

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

I think POINT LYNAS is verging on free bet territory here. There's a big advantage for lower drawn pacesetters over this trip at York and even though this one is up in the weights I think it can deal with weight rise and make the stall position and pace profile count. Good course form and competitive in more lucrative races than this so can hopefully finish in the top third. Also runs well fresh so no concerns about the time off track.
15:30 Olivia Gadecki vs Alize Cornet

Olivia Gadecki

Win Match

50 WIN

These two are having pretty similar years on the tour, and are both disappointing tbh. Because of that I think Gadecki is a bit steep in price as it just looks a much closer contest.
16:20 4:20 Perth

Better Getalong

Daily Racing

25 EW

BETTER GETALONG may be a teenager now, but isn't showing signs of being past it just yet. I think the disappointing runs recently have been down to a high handicap mark rather than being a spent force. Now returns to last winning mark and could get involved with a claimer taking more off.
19:30 WTA Rome Danielle Collins vs Aryna Sabalenka

Danielle Collins

Win Match

50 WIN

I think Collins more than matches Sabalenka on clay and I'd her slightly shorter in price to win this, so she perhaps represents value at this price.
20:15 Luke Humphries vs Gerwyn Price

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

I think this is closer to a 50/50 play than these odds suggest. I had Price at about 2.25-2.30 for the win so he looks to have some value to progress here.
20:22 8:22 Lingfield

Moorgate

Daily Racing

25 EW

Off-colour of late but we are in class six territory and MOORGATE has now reached a rock bottom mark, below the mark it was when competitive here for two consecutive course handicaps at the end of last year. Could be a danger if bouncing back, pretty big if though!

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