JackpotRod

I'll get you an odds on shots beaten, but also give you some long odds winners with hopefully some insightful reasoning to help you to decide whether to follow me in or not. Back all my own selections with my own cash.

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JackpotRod's Tips

15th May 2024
14:15 2:15 York

Chillingham

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Posted a peak RPR 3rd time up last season, and 1st time cheekpieces are held for his 3rd effort this season. He boasts a fair record over this trip of 11243, the last of which was his most recent effort when where the two horses that set the pace faded tamely late on suggesting perhaps they set a fair gallop. This horse seemed to have half an eye on the closers to his left rather than giving a genuine effort, so the cheekpieces could really help to focus his mind as he came there swinging from a nice prominent position but wasn’t able to press home his advantage. Down a lb for what was close to a career best RPR looks lenient enough though, even if Knightswood has done nothing for the form since. He looks capable on any ground, and is drawn well in 3 to take up a good position in a race that lacks pace so could be easier to stay off it this time. The race tends to go to 4yo’s, so he would have to buck that trend, but he’s lightly raced enough for his age to buck it.
14:45 2:45 York

Woven

Daily Racing

25 EW

Chances all over, but I’m going to give Woven another play. Dods is in decent form landing some big priced winners, and has won a couple of the relatively recent renewals of this, plus he’s got Murphy booked who is 4/8 a place for him, winning twice. The horse was 16th in this in 2022, but did follow up over 7f with a decent 4th at the track. He notched a joint peak RPR with my money on two starts ago, staying on well off a decent pace. With a truer passage he probably gets up, and was only denied by stumbling on the line. He was less good at Newmarket, but it was his first start there and the pace really held up so I think it’s forgivable and he wasn’t disgraced. He might be struggling to come from off the pace again, though drawn around a couple of pace angles inside him I don’t think stall 4 is a bad place to be. If he can get further forward than usual, he could be sticking to the task, with hopefully the more rain the better.
15:15 3:15 York

Spycatcher

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

Spycatcher, a previous 2nd in this as a 4yo, gets the hands of Ryan Moore to take him through this with Burke 4 handed. He's got a bit of form to turn round with Mill Stream and Washington Heights, but I'm not completely convinced this horse is an obvious Newmarket horse. He did win a conditions race, but did get roundly spanked in a handicap there, and I just wonder if you can upgrade that run moving to a more conventional track. He didn't look that comfortable into the dip to me, but really did step on up the hill to run down the leaders but just had too much to do. He should get a nice tow into it drawn around some pace angles, and with Cold Case coming here fresh and the selection holding him on form anyway, he and Diligent Harry should be in reverse when this horse is staying on. 
15:45 3:45 York

Classical Song

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Looks as stoutly bred as the short priced Fav who could be hard to beat but is turned out quickly enough to have some doubts. Gosden has won 7 of the last 13 renewals, but only 1 had their last run at Newmarket less than 2 weeks prior. She’s all the rage, and rightly so visually, and the time appears to stack up nicely enough too. She’s not taken on lightly, but Classical Song has all the fancy entries over extended trips as well as some fair form to boot. She bled from the nose when last seen finishing 4th in the Fillies Mile, so in some ways you can upgrade that effort behind 3 horses rated between 108 and 112 now. That’s clearly the pick of her form, but a staying on win ahead of Beautiful Love is hardly particularly bad form, and links her into some Classic form lines too. She should definitely get this trip on breeding, and assuming she’s sound from her bleeding experience, I think she could go well.

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