Venomspread3r

When you're Winning you're never as good as you think you are & when you're losing you're never as bad as you think you are! Novice Horse racing tipster that enjoys trying to crack the riddle that is Irish & French Handicap racing. Always on the Lookout for bigger priced outsiders. No odds on Favourites here.

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Venomspread3r's Tips

15th May 2024
17:45 5:45 Sligo

Grand Citadel

Daily Racing

25 EW

To make a case for Micky Fenton's 3 year old Filly GRAND CITIDEL we need to look past the surface and do some digging to be more specific we need to look at this charges pedigree. This Daughter of RIBCHESTER 'Should' (if the DNA in her veins aligns with the past) enjoy the sharp nature of this County Sligo track after all her sires progeny has a 60% Win strike rate here & 29% place strike rate at sharper tracks in general with a 27.96% place strike rate on the good ground & 28.86% place strike rate over this trip (6f) all the past 5 years. This Filly changes tact (from soft ground /straight galloping track) as she drops in class after her best run to date @The Curragh 24 days ago. Jockey Niall McCullagh retains the reins for his only ride today & has a very impressive 37.50% Win strike rate here @Sligo the past 5 years. If all of the above sounds like the ramblings of a mad man then of course stay clear, A bit (a lot!) of faith is needed here but I'm happy to tentatively dip my toe in here each way to appease my intrigue.
18:30 6:30 Tipperary

Sovereign Duke

Daily Racing

25 EW

Can lightning strike twice? I'm not an expert in fulminology so I really couldn't say but at current odds of 40/1 I'm happy to take that chance. Trainer Shark Hanlon will certainly be hoping that his 9 year old German Gelding SOVEREIGN DUKE can repeat (or go one better) his efforts in this very race last year when returning from a 143 day break to finish 2nd ½ a length off the winner outrunning today's odds of 40/1 under todays 7lb claiming Jockey Shane Fenton off a mark of 97 (Now 93). This Son of JUKEBOX JURY didn't exactly kick on from that run (and that's putting it mildly) but he now returns back to this trip 4lbs lighter. Trainer & jockey had a winner yesterday @Killarney. This could all blow up in my face & certainly won't be the first time (and won't be the last) I've eaten humble pie but these odds are too big to ignore so I'll play each way & prey for the lightning.
20:00 8:00 Tipperary

Squire Ohara

Daily Racing

25 EW

Tony Martin's 6 year old Gelding SQUIRE OHARA 'Should' strip fitter for his pipe opener @Down Royal 31 days ago & being a Son of MILAN he certainly has the blood in his veins for this 3 mile assignment, Whilst trainer tends to do well with his 'Stayers' (34.38% Place strike rate) & 2nd time out Handicappers with a 31.03% place strike rate. The booking of Jockey Michael O'Sullivan is certainly a positive & whilst he hasn't been grabbing all the headlines hes steadily clocked up a 36.84% place strike rate the past fortnight. With 5 places on offer & now fresh it wouldn't be a total shock if shrewd trainer gets this charge in & amongst the minor money here.

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