owl100

Trying to decipher low grade handicaps mainly

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owl100's Tips History

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02 April 2024
16:45 4:45 Pontefract

On The River

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-100

Four wins last year off marks ranging from 63 to 77. That final victory at Beverley in July on heavy ground a good piece of form, beating Rhoscolyn a short head. That rival won 3 times before the end of the season and ended it rated 100, having been off 87 when they met. On The River didn't reach that level again over the rest of the year but he onloy got soft ground once and that does seem preferable. He gets that today and is back down to the last winning mark and back down into class 5 company for the first time since winning last May.
15:15 3:15 Pontefract

Glorious Angel

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-100

No win on turf in 2023 but finished second 5 times including twice on heavy ground in decent handicaps off 85 and 87. Was just short head behind Vintage Clarets on one of those occasions and he's 4lb better off today (Wen Moon also in behind that day but he had an excuse). Below form on the all weather in three runs but back to form at Doncaster last time when running well at the weights in a listed race, again showing a liking for soft ground. Good chance back in handicap company off 84 given similar conditions.
27 March 2024
15:10 3:10 Hereford

Berliet Express

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

Longstanding maiden over fences but won twice as a hurdler in Ireland and was very competitive in chases over there off marks in the mid to high 80s last year. Better efforts for new yard the last twice including for this jockey in race which worked out quite well at Market Rasen on penultimate start. Off 79 now.
26 March 2024
17:05 5:05 Newcastle

Glory Hights

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.50

Win

14

Good efforts in both his completed handicap runs. Firstly was a neck runner-up to Yealand (251 since including win off 10lb higher) off 79, and then finished 3rd off 84 last time. Was quite possibly going o win off that mark earlier this month in a void race. All those runs recorded at this course on soft/heavy ground and is off 84 again here.
16:50 4:50 Taunton

Sevenofus

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Win

90

If the ground doesn't get too testing Sevenofus could be worth an interest here. She's still a maiden under rules but has put up some decent efforts including on her second run since an absence and for this yard when an 8.5l runner-up last month over 18f here. She's off the same mark today having struggled on softer ground either side of that run.
14:35 2:35 Newcastle

Polisud

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-100

Much better over CD on heavy ground the last twice following big drop in the weights. Decent 3rd behind well weighted Classic Maestro in February before taking advantage of a drop into this grade last time. The second that day had won his previous run, and won agaion next time, and the pair were well clear of the third, so it was a fair effort for the level. He's up 7lb, but remains at class 5 level, and that mark would still be very lenient on his best French form.
1 member found this comment useful
25 March 2024
16:05 4:05 Huntingdon

Baghdad Central

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

Quite a few possible improvers on handicap debut here but going to chance Baghdad Central. He won for this jockey off it at Carlisle last April and didn't run too badly when fading late on on soft ground at Doncaster. Has a bit of ground to make up on My Friend Sean on that run but the better ground would seem preferable and he's 1lb below his winning mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Exeter

Samtara

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-100

Good hurdling form around this time last year, winning by 5l at Hereford in March off 103 before finishing a good second in a Cheltenham 0-135 off 107, a race which worked out well with the winner landing the Swinton next time up 5lb. Samtara was pulled up in May and hasn't reached that level in three runs since wind surgery this winter. Now down the weights to 98 though and dropped in grade into a class 5 for the first time since his last win (241 in C5 handicap hurdles). Not matched hurdles form over fences in 4 goes so far but this looks a bit easier than the other chases he's contested.
1 member found this comment useful

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