Shrews
After 45 years punting I've learned there is one golden rule, and that's never bet your hard earned money when you are tired, angry, stressed, drunk, annoyed, sick, distracted, bored etc. Being in the right frame of mind to effectively consider the chances of EVERY horse in the race is key (not just the one you like).
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
Shrews's Tips History
14 April 2024
21:45 US Masters
Hideki Matsuyama
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Good price to be amongst the first 8. Won this in 2021 before T14 in 2022, where he hit an awful 77 in Round 3. T16 last year but comes into the tournament with a win in the Genesis Invitational back in February and should be in contention.
Matt Fitzpatrick
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
T10 last year and T14 in 2022. Shot 70-72-72-70 in 2023 and 71-73-76-70 in 2022. Won the US Open in 2022 to show he has the nerve to win a major. Needs to find a shot or two a day on those efforts to be in contention but remains in decent form finishing 5th in the Players Championship back in March. Showed he was capable of hitting under 70 when hitting a 67 in the final round back in 2016 to eventually achieve a T7 finish.
Collin Morikawa
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@46.00
Lose
-50
PGA winner in 2020, Open winner in 2021, but knocking on the door in this tournament with three top 20 finishes in the last three years ( T18, 5, T10). Shot a first round 69 last year (plus another 69 in Round 2). Can keep improving on that aged 27.
Shane Lowry
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@46.00
Lose
-50
The 2019 Open winner has improved at Augusta over the last four years with a T3 in 2022. He shot a 68 in the First Round last year, 73 in 2022, 71 in 2021, and being aggressive in the first round could be his best chance of being competitve over the 4 days if he can steal a lead early on.
Viktor Hovland
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@36.00
Lose
-50
T7 overall last year but T1 in the first round with an impressive 65, 72 in 2022 and 73 in 2021, so has improved each year in the first round. He will do well to equal a 65 but no surprises if he's sub 70 and likely still improving as a player aged 26.
20:15 US Masters
Jordan Spieth
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
It's a good ew price on Spieth 8 places on offer. He was T4 last year and T8 in 2021, winning in 2015 plus three other top 3 finishes. Aged 30, he can get back to winning ways.
Justin Thomas
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Should be kicking on a little bit now he's turned 30 and entering those critical years of combining talent with experience. Missed the cut last year but T8 in 2022 and 4th in 2020. Needs to get back to where he was and being a twice major winner (PGA x2) should still have that major winning capability.
Wyndham Clark
25 EW
@31.00
Lose
-50
Won the US Open to grab his first major last year and has followed that up with a win in the Pebble Beach Po-Am back in February. Could be a 'not-so-surprise' package here at this course. Hit a course record 60 in the final round at that Pebble Beach event.
Brooks Koepka
1st Round Leader
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
Was joint 1st round leader in 2019 and again last year, shooting an excellent 65. Has won the PGA (x3) and the US Open twice and will be chomping at the bit to add this major to his tally.
Dustin Johnson
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Price looks very generous with 6 places on offer. He was T4 for the first round in 2019, T1 in 2020 and T3 in 2022. Shot a 71 last year, but that was his best round. No surprises if it's his best round again this time.
Subtotal-500
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree
Electric Mason
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
Tricky race to analyse but his Topspeed and RPR figures are competitive and he meets a few trends. May not have benefitted from the shorter 13f distance or the Heavy ground LTO at Fontwell, but the drying ground for this and 4f further distance can improve things.
17:00 5:00 Aintree
Djelo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Beat Master Chewy over CD in November and won his next two. Placed third at Cheltenham in the Turners but had the likes of Facile Vega and Sharjah behind. May well do much better now he's back at this course.
Silent Approach
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
This price is way too big and he's not out of this by any means. This ground is drying by the minute and that will suit this horse more than most in the race. Grade 2 winner at Cork in December and deserves a crack at a Grade 1.
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Minella Indo
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
Rated 174 at the height of his 2021 Gold Cup winning form. Now down 15lb to 159. Rachael Blackmore rides. We know the horse has the heart of a champion, great stamina, jumps well and goes well on any ground. That's plenty of plusses for an 18/1 ew shot with 6 places on offer.
1 member found this comment useful
Roi Mage
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
Carried 10st 8lb into a 13l 7th in last years race and carries the same this time. The ground should be softer this time and that should suit. Can be involved in this and no surprises if he's been targeted towards this
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Falco Blitz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
4 places on offer and this one looks a good value ew at 25's to be amongst them. Unexposed at this distance and seems to be in the form of his life at present. Should get the trip (unseated in the Munster national at Limerick over this trip in October 2022 but was going well at the time (3 out)).
Twig
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
4l 2nd in the Ultima at Cheltenham on Heavy ground when a 28/1 shot. Can do even better now the ground is drying, Should have plenty in the tank if still in contention at the finish and I can see a rallying finish to get up close home.
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Ile Atlantique
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Should be involved. Decent 3rd in The Gallagher at Cheltenham (no chance with winner Ballyburn). Can take revenge on Townend's choice who finished 2nd in that race with a flatter track and drying ground perhaps more in his favour.
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Bold Endeavour
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Looks a good ew chance with 6 places on offer. 6l behind my other selection in that Haydock run but progressed from that to place 4th of 22 in the ultra competitive Pertemps at Cheltenham. Another where drying ground could suit him.
Fine Margin
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
From the Mullins yard so should be fit enough if good enough. Did well to finish a 1.5l 2nd of 15 over this distance at Haydock in November on GS. The third won a Grade 1 at Ascot next time out. Up 6lb but could be considerably better than that. The drying ground should suit.
Subtotal-335
12 April 2024
18:10 6:10 Dundalk
Circles
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
With 4 places on offer this CD winner can be involved. Won here in February 2023 and just 2lb higher now. The excellent Seamie Heffernan was on board that day and he rides again. Retains that ability winning a Class 5 at Wolves in February this year.
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Karuma Grey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
Mark looks on the high side but still has the potential to improve aged 6. Bought from Ireland for 40k so plenty expected and reverts to hurdles from fences for this. Trainer, jockey both decent and will likely be fit.
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Dancing City
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
165
May not have enjoyed 3 miles in the heavy ground at Cheltenham when a 7l 3rd. Should do better on this drying ground. Should be ok at 3m and can be involved with 3 places on offer.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Fantastic Lady
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG
@19.00
Win
64
12l clear of the third when 2nd in this race last year and just 3lb higher now. Should be able to get amongst the six places on offer if repeating that.
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Conflated
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Got outpaced in the Ryanair at Cheltenham but rallied in the closing stages. Normally runs at 3m so that shorter trip was a new enough experience for the horse and jockey who will know more now. Pieces are on so that suggests they know what's best for the horse. No surprises if he 's less outpaced because of that addition and could rally strongly close home. Decent ew with 3 places on offer.
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Mistergif
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
5th at Cheltenham finishing 1 length and 3l behind the two he reopposes here. This is a different track, less undulations, tighter, no uphill finish and there's less stress about the occasion. He's obviously a decent horse and can get amongst the two places here given the race differences.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Guard Your Dreams
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@51.00
Lose
-50
No surprises to me if this one has not only been targeted towards this race but also that he's significantly better than what he has shown since returning from a 660 day break. His last run before that break was when unseating at the last over CD in the Grade 1 Aintree Hurdle of 2022. He was 2nd when that happened. Mark has dropped 10lb since then.
Subtotal74
11 April 2024
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Heltenham
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Interesting down in trip. Has won his last two, both over 4f, but does travel strongly in his races and may well have the pace to stay in contention. No surprises if he's finishing strongly whilst others have had enough.
16:20 4:20 Limerick
Aodhan May
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Win
240
Hat trick of wins in February/early March on Heavy ground and only just beaten a length or so by Sir Bob LTO. Likely still improving and not quite done yet for the season.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Espoir De Guye
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
I think an ew case can be made for this horse with 5 places on offer. 2nd to Captain Tommy at Ludlow, with that horse the conqueror of Sine Nomine who had beaten the likely favourite for this It's On The Line at Cheltenham. A flatter track and up a furlong in trip should suit.
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Shishkin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Won this last year. Missed Cheltenham due to an unsatisfactory scope but that could be a big help here. Tough for the likely favourite Geri Colombe to come back from a hard run at Cheltenham.
Subtotal90
10 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Cloudy Rose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
Capable type at this level on turf, running up a hat-trick in May/June last year and is below the last winning mark now. Much depends if he can transfer the form to sand but the booking of Kingscote looks a sign of intent, so it's possible they think he will.
18:00 6:00 Kempton
Veer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@67.00
Lose
-50
Looks more open than the betting shows I think. The winner of this could well be a 75-80 rated horse and that could apply to this one, going by his 7l 6th of 8 on his debut last year at Haydock. New stable put the hood on and that could well mean they know plenty about the horse through his work at home.
17:20 5:20 Wolverhampton
Ustath
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Best run LTO since his 2l 4th of 12 at Southwell over this distance a year ago. Down 11lb on that run and any repeat puts him bang in the picture at a decent looking ew price.
17:00 5:00 Lingfield
Restorer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Mark still looks winnable after rising 2lb for his head 2nd over CD LTO. That was to the possible favourite for this 'Tortured Soul' so there's value in the price of 16/1 or so I think.
16:50 4:50 Leopardstown
Angel On Fire
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Win
15
Should be capable of being involved with 5 places on offer in what appears to be a dismal race. Won a Gowran Park 5k back in October over 1/2f shorter. That was on Heavy ground and gets that again for this. Third run back from a break should mean he's fit enough.
Subtotal-185
09 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Southwell
Imperial Express
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
Odds on shot to face here but I think it's likely this one is better thought of than his 76 rating shows having being run in two Class 2 events last season and placed twice at this level. Should be fit enough from the Andrew Balding stable on his return.
On Point
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Could easily be an 85-95 rated based on his two races so far when trained by Charlie Appleby and that would be good enough to be competitive here. The 2nd of those was a Listed and was hampered at the start putting paid to his chance and ultimately finishing a 17l 8th of 10. Gelded since and first run for this stable.
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Copper And Five
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
Thirsk winner in this class last May off 3lb higher. Unexposed on the aw. Mainly runs in a higher class and could be involved here if transferring his turf form to this surface.
Wadacre Grace
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
Has been on the go a long time but was a 3/4l 2nd of 9 over CD back in December 2022 and that was at two classes higher than this off the same mark. Obviously stands up to racing well and Billy Loughnane can get that little extra from her.
18:30 6:30 Southwell
Sonning
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
121 rated hurdler and has had a recent run so fitness and stamina look assured. Can give a much better account then when a 10l last of 12 over CD in this class last month, but that was on return from a 485 day break. May have plenty in the tank late on.
Subtotal-145
06 April 2024
17:45 5:45 Chelmsford City
Surprise Picture
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Three time winner at Wolves over the last year plus one at Musselburgh. Not sure what he will make of Chelmsford but he's a capable type in this class and useful claimer takes off 5lb. Can be amongst the 4 places on offer.
15:15 3:15 Kempton
Sleeping Lion
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Win
30
4 places on offer and this horse can get amongst them. Won this race in 2021 and CD place in this class LTO hints that the stable have been targetting this with the jockey bang in form.
14:40 2:40 Kempton
Laafi
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Finished 4th in the Listed Lingfield Derby Trial last year with the winner winning the Group 3 Winter Derby at Southwell in February. Won a Heavy ground Class 3 H/cap at Newmarket over 10f in November. Sure to be fit enough for this being trained by Wille Haggas and can be amongst the 4 places on offer.
Londoner
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Ran well in France on his debut last year when trained by Aiden O'Brien and may well be a horse that goes well fresh. That was a Group 3 and was only beaten a length or so. It looks a true Group 3 going by the form since of others in the race. First time tongue tie perhaps a sign that the stable understands the horse and that will be due to plenty of work on the gallops.
14:15 2:15 Uttoxeter
Valfortore
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
The old 'outsider of three' addage exists for a reason and that's because horses can show improved form in this size of field where typical tactics that might be employed by a jockey go out the window. Here we can add Heavy ground to the issue and I think Charlie Deutsch may just hunt this one around maybe 10-20 lengths off the pace and hope the other two burn each other or force each other into errors.
Subtotal-170
04 April 2024
16:50 4:50 Naas
Queensteel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
It seems a strange training decision not to have run this horse back over this distance when clearly it's best form has been over it. Beat a horse from the Mullins Yard named Recite A Prayer by 6l over this trip, on Heavy ground at Tipperary in May 2021. That horse has gone on to be a 141 chaser. Clearly had his problems since (just 4 runs since and none at all in 2023). But this is his third run back now from a 751 day break and should be reaching optimum fitness. If she retains that ability in conditions that look perfect she could be a handicap blip off just 84
16:15 4:15 Naas
Gabriel Ranger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
16l 4th LTO at Thurles 19 days ago. The winner of that is possibly a 125 rated horse based on that performance so a mark of 101 for this looks interesting, especially as he was hampered at a crucial stage in that race. Can get amongst the 6 places on offer.
15:40 3:40 Naas
Ladyeze Man
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
Can be involved with 6 places on offer and price looks too big based on his 2nd of 17 at Cork in October over 3f further than this. Only beaten a neck that day and looked the winner before fading close home and then rallying just a touch too late. The third who was 4l behind has won since and now rated 10lb higher than this horse so could be on a good mark. Good chance if fit enough on debut.
Verbal Sparring
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Was staying on and in third place when falling at the last here 25 days ago. Claimer ridden that day. JJ Slevin can help him avoid such mistakes this time around.
14:40 2:40 Naas
Run For Cover
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@101.00
Lose
-50
Tongue tie and hood for her debut isn't necessarily a negative. It could well suggest the yard have schooled her thoroughly and know a lot about her. Therefore she could well be fit, well drilled, and they know what's best for the horse. No surprises from this stable if that's the case. Dam was a Class 5 winning chaser, Sire a Group 1 winner on the flat and sire of many winners over sticks.
14:10 2:10 Naas
Zuzukel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@101.00
Lose
-50
Had only been with Tony Martin 5 days when beaten 47l on hurdles debut at Cork in December. The first two there pulled 24l clear of the third and the winner went on to be 4th of 22 in the Boodles Fred Winter at Cheltenham. This horse was raced once on the flat in France before joining this stable and went off at 9/1 for the Cork race so not unfancied. Should do a whole lot better now.
Subtotal-300
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
