jodonovan
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jodonovan's Tips History
15 May 2024
17:20 5:20 York
Wahraan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Wahraan was a very useful performer for Sir Michael Stoute earlier in his career, winning twice as a three-year-old prior to running his best race when a close fifth in a competitive handicap over today's C&D. He caught the eye on his third run for Jamie Osborne at Windsor last time out, losing plenty of ground early due to a tardy start before staying on well for third. The son of Le Havre has dropped four lb below his last winning mark providing he makes a better start today he should go close.
16:15 4:15 York
Fire Demon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Fit from a couple of wins on the Fire Demon returns to turf today the Andrew Balding stable is in fine form just now. Allied to that, Oisin Murphy is currently riding at the top of his game and his presence in the saddle is a major plus as the son of Dark Angel bids to defy a further six lb rise.
15:15 3:15 York
Marshman
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
Karl Burke runs four in the feature race of the day at York. I like to back a runner that has a run under their belt for this Group 2 sprint. Spycatcher would enjoy more rain and is drawn away from the pace horse Art Power. Marshman loves it at York and can bounce back following a below par run at Newmarket in the Abernant Stakes. On his first run this season he was run down late by Montassib at Doncaster in a listed race on soft ground. This quick course suits the smooth travelling Marshman who is nicely drawn in stall 14 near the pace horses.
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14:45 2:45 York
Mr Wagyu
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
The John & Sean Quinn trained Mr Wagyu has been around for years and goes well in these big field sprint handicaps. Six furlongs is his best trip, and he is down to a good handicap mark of 91. Last year he finished 3 lengths behind winner Bielsa off a 7lb higher mark when drawn very high. I like that he ran well on his first run back this season at Ripon last month giving lumps of weight to winner, Glorious Angel. The rain yesterday has turned the ground mainly good which will suit this nine-year-old. Jason Hart rides with Mr Wagyu nicely drawn in stall 11.
14:15 2:15 York
Kihavah
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
15
Kihavah looks to have been laid out for this valuable handicap following two warm up runs. He didn’t endure a hard race at Newmarket when beaten 10 lengths by Bague D’or over 1m6f. Kihavah won twice over course and distance last season on both fast and good ground. The rain today will have softened the ground up to no better than good which is fine. Kihavah won at Ayr over 1m5f last season so will stay a truly run 1m4f at York strongly. Oisin Murphy comes in for the ride with Tom Marquand ridden for his boss William Haggas.
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Subtotal-100
14 May 2024
20:40 8:40 Chepstow
Starfighter
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
Mark Loughnane's Starfighter hasn't won on turf in almost two years. Currently, he's competing off a rather appealing mark of 60, which is two lbs lower than his last winning mark on turf, and he showed promising signs when he finished third at Kempton recently. This eight-year-old looks like he could be about to turn a corner. This evening he has his trainers talented son Billy onboard, and should go close,
16:45 4:45 Beverley
LEagle Aid
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Charlie Johnston's string have been running well this season and his LEagle Aid is a Free Eagle gelding who showed hints of ability in his three two-year-old runs back in December. They were all around a mile on the all-weather with the best of them coming on his debut, but the late start to his two-year-old career suggests he had been slow to come to hand, that means he makes his turf and handicap debut off what looks like a workable mark, and this step up in trip should be to his liking judged on his pedigree. A step-up from what he has shown so far would not surprise in a race where the Johnston runners have usually run well in recent times.
16:15 4:15 Beverley
Strangerontheshore
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
Nigel Tinkler's dual C&D winner Strangerontheshore shaped well on her seasonal debut here eight days ago, keeping on to finish fourth having lost ground when rearing at the start. That race was over a furlong shorter on easy ground, and getting back over today's extended mile trip on quicker ground will suit her far more. She's nicely drawn in stall six, Faye McManoman knows her well, having been aboard for four of her six wins.
Subtotal-100
13 May 2024
16:35 4:35 Hereford
Got Grey
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
Now trained by Helen Nelmes Got Grey didn't show a lot in Ireland under Gavin Cromwell, he did show some potential for his new stable with a fourth place out of 14 in a novice race at Taunton last month. Running off a fair mark today, he's certainly in with a shout for a place at the least.
14:30 2:30 Hereford
Lightfoot Lady
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
Nicky Henderson's horses are beginning to return to form, and he can take this with his lightly raced Lightfoot Lady who steps up in trip on her handicap debut today, she was last seen finishing third behind the potentially useful Personal Ambition at Doncaster in February, The form has worked out well with the winner, Personal Ambition, landing a Grade 2 on his next start and runner-up Inoui Machin having won twice since. Lightfoot Lady looks well treated for this handicap debut off a mark of 105.
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Subtotal-100
12 May 2024
16:40 4:40 Longchamp
Go Athletico
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The Ado McGuinness trained Go Athletico caught the eye with an improved/encouraging last start when finishing third at Naas behind the smart Moss Tucker over the minimum trip, and it is notable that stable jockey Ronan Whelan also makes the long trip to France today for just one ride even though the stable has fancied runners at home.
16:03 4:03 Ludlow
Musique De Fee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The Georgina Nicholls trained Musique De Fee has struggled in softer than ideal conditions over hurdles after showing promise in a good ground bumper at Stratford last June, but she showed big improvement on her second start after wind surgery when winning over course and distance last month. That was back on good ground, the same conditions she encounters here, she would've won more comfortably than three-quarters of a length had she jumped the last two better, so a four lb rise may not stop her going in again.
15:35 3:35 Leopardstown
Bremen
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
Today's drying conditions should suit Bremen. He is somewhat reminiscent of his sister Warm Heart, who had an exceptional change of gear and who was suited by quick ground. The highest-rated runner in the race is Aidan O'Brien's Los Angeles, but this is his reappearance and the forecast points to today's going being much quicker than he has encountered, potentially making for too sharp a test for him.
15:00 3:00 Leopardstown
Real Appeal
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
The Ado McGuinness trained Real Appeal has another go at group Tree Amethyst Stakes. He finished down the field last year behind winner Power Under Me, however the ground was soft to heavy that day. Real Appeal needs good ground or better to show his best and show off his turn of foot. He returned from a forced lay-off to win cosily at Dundalk in March. Ben Coen rides with Ronan Whelan on duty at Longchamp.
Subtotal-200
11 May 2024
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Rare Middleton
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Rare Middleton is a strong fancy in the Swinton Hurdle. He travelled like a dream on spring ground at Cheltenham last month when beaten a neck by Tintintin. I think he can reverse placings with Tintintin around pan flat Haydock. Rare Middleton has lots of conditions in his favour in this race. The distance of one mile seven and a half furlongs places the emphasis on speed over stamina on this flat course. This horse caught my attention earlier in the season when winning easily at Doncaster over an extended two miles. He has bags of speed and Harry Cobden can ride him with confidence off a nice weight of 11-2.
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14:40 2:40 Ascot
Ramazan
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
45
The Victoria Cup is always one of the best sprint handicaps early in the turf season. It's tough with 25 runners and I like to have proven handicap form in the bag. Ramazan ran some fantastic races last season as an eight-year-old against his elders. He won the racing league leg at Chepstow last season off a rating of 98. That win came over 7 furlongs on good to soft ground. He backed up with a massive run in the Ayr Gold Cup, beaten a neck by Significantly. Ramazan showed he has the speed to lay up over six furlongs and the stamina to win over seven furlongs. He finished off last season with a nose defeat in a listed 7f race at Redcar. The handicapper has rated Ramazan 105, and I like that trainer Richard Fahey offers help by booking good 5lb claimer Joe Leavy. Ramazan warmed up with a nice run in a conditions race at Thirsk.
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14:05 2:05 Ascot
My Margie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
The Richard Hughes trained My Margie faces a tough task here as she bids for a hat trick as she is out of the handicap. However, she's still improving, and I think there's every chance of her winning this.
13:35 1:35 Haydock
Judicial Law
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
Judicial Law is worth backing on good ground. He ran here in the stayer's hurdle series final in March but failed to fire having an off day. I think he needs spring ground and if you look back to his form last September and October it reads much better. He won over 3m1f at Kelso of a mark of 127. Next up he came home well to finish second to Hyland at the Cheltenham showcase meeting when rated 130. I think if he is on a going day he has a good chance carrying 11-2.
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Subtotal-105
10 May 2024
16:15 4:15 Chester
Prince Alex
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The Dominic Ffrench Davis trained Prince Alex can gain some compensation here for missing the Chester Cup cut. The seven-year-old was fancied for the highlight itself and gets in here off a winning mark of 84 despite a three lb penalty for winning with plenty up his sleeve at Newbury last time out.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Aqwaam
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Aqwaam is trained by locally based trained Ian Williams. He is fit and ready following a winter campaign on the all-weather. Since going out in trip to around two miles Aqwaam has run several good races to win or place. He showed a good turn of foot to win at Lingfield in late March, carrying 9-10 under Oisin Orr. Ian Williams believes he ran him back too soon eight days later at Kempton. Franny Norton rides Aqwaam who carries a feather weight of 8-7.
15:30 3:30 Ascot
Billyjoh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Mick Appleby's Billyoh has been progressing nicely, pushing a strong competitor to the limit at Southwell recently. Racing off the same handicap and back on turf today, he remains one to keep an eye on.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Boardman
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
Boardman is down to a workable handicap mark of 94. He should come forward plenty following his first run of the season at Haydock almost a fortnight ago. He will need a bit of luck from stall 10 but is not a front-runner, so I kind of like him draw wide to give his rider Phil Dennis options. Boardman loves it around Chester and will enjoy the drying ground. He has won three times over course and distance and has his chance.
Subtotal-200
09 May 2024
16:50 4:50 Gowran Park
Barrier
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Gordon Elliott has a rare flat runner here as Barrier who had been hurdling reverts to the level and as long as the ground is not as horrendous as it was in February when he ran over hurdles here he has a good chance with teenage jockey Keithen Kennedy taking off seven lbs for his claim.
16:45 4:45 Chester
Filibustering
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
After making an impressive handicap debut at Wetherby over a mile and three quarters last month when only going down by a neck Tim Easterby's Filibustering drops back to a mile and a half here. Even with a shorter distance this time, I think will'll put in a strong performance and is a good e.w bet.
16:10 4:10 Chester
Dream Harder
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Ian Williams has made a good start to the season and Dream Harder can give him another winner here in this wide-open handicap. This will be his first turf start of the season, and he gets in here off a mark of 88 which is just three lbs higher than his last winning mark. That win came here off the marginally further distance of a mile and three furlongs 300 days ago.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Alsakib
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Andrew Balding is enjoying an excellent start to the season this year and can take this year's renewal of the Group Three Ormonde Stakes with Alsakib who finished half a length ahead of Arrest in the John Porter at Newbury on his seasonal debut last month. I think he can confirm those placings when the pair meet this afternoon.
13:50 1:50 Huntingdon
Mistral Milly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Emma Lavelle's mare Mistral Milly found only a progressive rival too strong on her handicap bow at Hereford last month, and she looks capable of better. Today could be her day.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Clearpoint
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
The Simon Hodgson-trained four-year-old Clearpoint made an encouraging return to the turf at Epsom last time out, and I expect improvement. Clearpoint finished fourth of 12 that day, and although he did not get the best of passages, he came home strong and should come on for that effort. He was dropped a lb and is still running off a workable mark and William Carver's three lb claim will certainly help his chances. The last ten winners of this race have all been drawn between one and four, so Clearpoint's draw in stall three gives him a big opportunity at this tight track.
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Subtotal0
08 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Cuban Harry
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@13.00
Lose
-50
The Ed Dunlop-trained son of Havana Grey Cuban Harry refused to settle for his five lb claiming rider at Bath last time out, but I think he deserves another chance on his return to the all-weather with the excellent Billy Loughnane taking over in the saddle. He was good as a two-year-old, and was gelded following his final start of last year, he returned looking better than ever when short-headed over 7f at Wolverhampton last month,
20:00 8:00 Kempton
Dotties Moon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Pat Phelan is a trainer who knows how to have a horse ready for their handicap debuts, his Dotties Moon who gets in here off a mark of 60 caught my eye in each of her three races as a two-year-old keeping on well on debut in what was a fairly warm novice. Then getting a soft ride in both her two all-weather races, I'm happy to take a chance on her e.w his evening.
18:30 6:30 Kempton
Call Me The Breeze
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 08/05 at 09:430.10 deduction for Brinton@8.50 withdrawn at 18:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.10) = 11.80Best Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 11.80 BOG
@19.00
Win
64
Call Me The Breeze was making both her seasonal and stable debut for Tom Ward following her move from the Ed Walker yard at Wolverhampton last month when she travelled just about best before fading into fifth. She'll strip fitter in this 0-52 contest. I can see her adopting a good position from a draw one off the rail, cruising into the straight then pouncing.
16:45 4:45 Chester
Gdaay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The finale on day one of Chester's May meeting can go to Joseph Parr's G'Daay who looks ready to take charge after a solid warm-up run. With the visor back on and a favourable draw, he could well lead all the way and prove tough to overtake.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Due For Luck
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
Due For Luck has his first start of the 2024 season. He enjoyed a good juvenile campaign winning twice as well as finishing second at Chester from five starts. Due For Luck had to sit and wait for a gap in that Chester race giving the winner first run. That proved costly as he was only beat a head by Bazball who was in receipt of 10lbs. We can forgive Due For Luck his final two starts on soft ground and the all-weather. Due For Luck is well drawn in stall 2 and remains on a nice handicap mark of 83 with good ground fine.
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Subtotal-136
07 May 2024
17:12 5:12 Southwell
Lough Salt
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@51.00
Lose
-50
Peter Winks could take this race with his thirteen-year-old veteran Lough Salt who gets in here off ten lb below a winning mark of 72, which is the same mark he was carrying when just beaten a nose in a similar race at Sedgefield in October. Lough Salt needs a sound racing surface to show his best and that is the ground he gets today, I am hopeful he will get placed at least here.
16:20 4:20 Fakenham
Jigginstown King
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Oliver Signy's Jigginstown King finished a good third over two miles and five furlongs here 25 days ago following a four-month break, the way he ran that day it looked like the extra mile in trip he gets today will be ideal. This is his first attempt at an extreme distance, but all three of his chase wins have come on today's good ground.
14:45 2:45 Fakenham
Jackeline
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The Seamus Mullins trained Jackeline recent performance at Chepstow suggested she might benefit from a longer distance, that run was probably a career best and today's extra half mile should suit her even better
Subtotal-150
06 May 2024
17:20 5:20 Curragh
Half Nutz
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
The Ado McGuinness trained Half Nutz last win came here 590 days ago when he was being trained by Johnny Murtagh. As a result his handicap mark has dropped from 85 down to his current one of 69, although he hasn't won he has gone close occasionally. Today he is being ridden by Adam Caffrey who is used to riding him and takes a useful five lbs off for his claim. I think he is a massive price at 25/1 with five places being paid.
16:45 4:45 Curragh
El Bello
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
I've lost track of the amount of trainers El Bello has had over the years, but he is currently with Denis Hogan having won three times at Dundalk over this distance in the last year twice while with Philip Byrne. He gets in here of a mark of75 having been beaten by half a length over this C&D off three lbs lower three weeks ago, I think he has a great chance today.
16:05 4:05 Kempton
Killer Kane
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Joe Tizzard has a good chance in this with dual C&D winner Killer Kane who is now down to his last winning mark of 126 . More importantly the horse finally gets to run on a sound surface having endured soft ground for a very long time.
15:35 3:35 Curragh
Bluedrum
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
This race has been won for the last two years by three-year-olds, who get12lb from their elders, and there are two in the line-up this year. My choice is Bluedrum, who impressed on her debut at Naas last September, picking up well to run out a good winner from a couple of colts who won next time. Jessica Harrington has the Irish 1,000 Guineas in mind for her, and she'll have to go close in this company to justify that entry.
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15:25 3:25 Bath
Sisters In The Sky
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The Grace Harris trained Sisters In The Sky drops to the minimum trip today, she also gets in here off the handy mark of 53 having found it tough competing from marks in the 60s on turf last summer.
Subtotal-250
05 May 2024
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Elmalka
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
840
This is wide open guineas and a few of the leading fancies have stamina doubts. Elmalka is bred in the blue as a half-sister to Benbatl. She won at Southwell in November and then ran a highly encouraging race placing third in the Fred Darling at Newbury. She showed greenness that day allowing the leaders get away from her but came home strongly on the positive side. The step-up to a mile will really suit and if she handles the Rowley Mile can progress again. Roger Varian has booked Silvestre De Sousa for the ride on this daughter of Kingman.
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15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Adjuvant
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@13.00
Lose
-50
Michael Bell's Adjuvant goes really well when fresh the five-year-old won his first two outings as a juvenile, ran a career best when beaten half a length on his three-year-old debut, and another one when beaten just a neck by HMS President on soft ground first time out in this race last year. He improved on that on his next few starts, too, winning another course-and-distance race just under two weeks later, then finishing a close fifth in the Northumberland Plate and second to Sweet William at Goodwood. I think he can go in this afternoon.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal790
04 May 2024
17:25 5:25 Punchestown
Lucky Zebo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Waterford Whispers is very short but has an obvious chance having run so well at Cheltenham despite racing freely. I'm going to take a chance on the Henry de Bromhead trained Lucky Zebo. He has been in cracking from this season and arrives here off the back of an impressive win at Cork over 2m3f. Clearly, he didn't stay the three miles on testing ground at Leopardstown over Christmas. He proved he can stay two and a half miles fine on soft ground with a win at Gowran Park last September. Rachel Blackmore is back in the plate, and he looks on a decent mark of 132 carrying 11 stone.
1 member found this comment useful
17:15 5:15 Newmarket
Royal Zabeel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Kevin Ryan's Royal Zabeel won his maiden at Pontefract last summer, where he led from the front and stretched clear to win by seven lengths. He underperformed in his next outing at the Doncaster Leger meeting in the Listed Flying Scotsman Stakes, finishing almost last, but that was over a longer distance and on soft ground. Today on sounder ground hopefully he will bounce back.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Dapper Valley
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
Dapper Valley was drawn away from the first two home when third over course and distance last month. He handles some cut in the ground with the trip and course to suit. Ryan Moore rides, and we can expect him to go close if coming forward from his first run of this season for trainer Richard Hannon.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Digby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Digby is an unexposed young chaser with nice form in his three chase runs. The handicapper has given him an opening mark of 128, and he gets in here off a low weight of 10-4. He has run three times over the winter running good races behind good horses likes Flanking Maneuver and Klassical Dream. Digby jumps well and should enjoy today's less testing ground than at Navan in January. He is fresh and trainer Dermot McLoughlin is very good with staying chasers.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Alyanaabi
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
The first classic and City of Troy was the best of these as juveniles. We know that horses develop massively from two to three years of age, and it's no forgone conclusion that City of Troy wins! I'd much rather take him on with Alyanaabi who finish second behind City of Troy in the Group 1 Dewhurst takes last autumn. The rain showers will suit Alyanaabi who has been stayed on strongly in all his races last season over 7 furlongs looking in need of a mile trip. Owen Burrows will have him spot on with Jim Crowley booked to ride.
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15:05 3:05 Punchestown
History Of Fashion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
History of Fashion finished third in this race last year and runs off a 5lb lower mark this time. He enjoys spring ground, and it shouldn't be too soft this afternoon on fresh ground. As well as being 2lbs lower in the ratings' trainer Pat Fahy has booked Richie Condon who claims off a further 5lbs. All that together leaves History of Fashion well in here carrying 10-2 on his back in a race where lightweights have a good record. He showed he retains lots of ability with his second-place finish in the Porterstown Chase and fifth place in the Irish National at Fairyhouse this season.
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14:40 2:40 Thirsk
Titan Rock
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 03/05 at 20:090.10 deduction for Hiromichi@8.50 withdrawn at 07:370.00 deduction for Master Richard @17.000 withdrawn at 08:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.1) = 19.00
@19.00
Win
540
Titan Rock has dropped to a workable handicap mark of 82. Sean Quinn has joined his father John on the training licence, and we know the Quinn family are masters of targeting big handicaps. Thirsk is an easy flat left turning course that will be perfect for Titan Rock who wears a first-time hood. Last season he almost won at the York Dante meeting following his all-weather campaign over 7f on fast ground. He lost his form and returned from a summer break to finish second here over 7f and then just fail at Ayr over a mile, beaten by Revich on good to soft ground. If the hood helps this horse to settle well early doors, then he has a great winning chance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Newmarket
Aberama Gold
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
Aberama Gold is match fit following recent runs at Newcastle and Newmarket. He handles cut in the ground so any further softening of the ground at Newmarket is of no concern. Aberama Gold came through to challenge on the near side when beaten into third place by less than a length here last month. The winner Dark Thirty enjoyed the run of that race and ran well this afternoon losing ground out of the stalls. The handicapper has left Aberama Gold on a mark of 97 which is fair, and he should go well for trainer David O'Meara.
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Subtotal190
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