colsinit4fun
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
colsinit4fun's Tips History
14 May 2024
14:15 2:15 Beverley
Rajeteriat
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-100
Assertively sets the standard on RPRs but this ground will be very different to what he encountered on debut at Ripon and he has a 7lb penalty to shoulder. Rejeteriat jumped ok on debut at Southwell and was up there with the pace and disputing the lead 2f out. He was quickly passed but kept on through the final furlong. He will be better for the run and with a good draw in stall 2, can make his experience count and jump out to be prominent from the outset. His action suggests he should be fine on this sound surface and the stiffer track should suit. The yard have a very useful strike rate of 2-8 (4 x 2nds) in the past 5 years and at around 9/2, he rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal-100
13 May 2024
18:50 6:50 Wolverhampton
City Saint
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Having tipped her last time out, I’m loathed to desert City Saint despite the fact that she will probably improve further and hold better chances once handicapping. As I wrote for her last run, her mother improved her RPR by 39lb through her first 3 runs and this is City Saint’s 3rd outing. She improved by 13lb from 1st to 2nd run so with further improvement likely, she is not without a chance on adjusted RPRs if she finds similar improvement again. Her mother won over 2m and she is likely to be one for handicaps down the line and probably over further. However, at around 16/1, she is worth a small each way interest to finish in the first 2.
15:17 3:17 Catterick
Keldeo
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Win
600
With the ground drying out, it is likely to pay to be with the pace and a low draw will be beneficial. There is little between Keldeo and Zaphea but with the plum draw in stall 1, preference is for Keldeo. He is 3lb better off for a 0.5l defeat at Musselburgh 10 days ago and with the draw advantage is fancied to turn the tables. At around 6/1, he rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal550
12 May 2024
15:28 3:28 Ludlow
Zucayan
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-100
Zucayan won this last year and is taking a similar prep this season. Last season, he re-appeared last season after a 310 day break before landing this after just 3lb less. Ran only once more last year finishing well down the field off a 4lb higher mark. Not seen again until 4 weeks ago when he made a promising re-appearance over 19.5f at Hereford. Still in contention before he weakened before the final flight. His only other win also came in May (2022) and he looks to have been primed for this again. He is the Nap of the day.
14:05 2:05 Plumpton
Alain
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-100
Global Esteem sets the standard on RPRs but he has only won 5-45 races and was a miler on the Flat. He races keenly so is likely to race up with the pace but it will still leave him vulnerable at the business end. Gary Moore has won 4 of the last 10 runnings of this race and Alain should be able to run down the O’Brien runner at the finish. At around 2/1, he is the one to be on.
Subtotal-200
11 May 2024
15:50 3:50 Haydock
Pogo
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-100
This represents quite a drop in class for Pogo who has contested Group 2 and 3 races on his last 4 runs and now drops to Listed company. He is very well suited by 7f on a sound surface and will be all the better for his re-appearance in a Group 2 at Sandown 2 weeks ago over 8f. He likes to race with the pace which he should be able to do here and at around 5/1, he looks well overpriced
15:35 3:35 Lingfield
Great Generation
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG
@4.33
Win
333
Remarquee sets the standard here on RPRs but it is her first run since last July and I’m not sure that a drop back to 7f will be in her favour. Great Generation represents the classic generation and has been nicely progressive in her 4 runs to date. In hindsight, she faced a tough task on re-appearance where she finished 4th, about 2l behind the 3rd and 4th in the 1000 Guineas. That was on desperate ground and she should be better suited by today’s sound surface. She is reported to have come out of the race well and has been working well. At around 11/4, she is fancied to upset the favourite and rates the Nap of the day.
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Luttrell Lad
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
170
Plenty in with chances in this competitive handicap. The one that takes the eye for me is Tom Lacey’s Luttrell Lad. He has been a tough horse to train for various reasons but he comes here after a decent run last time on ground possibly softer than ideal. That was after a 76 day break and he drops another 1lb here. The strong gallop should suit him and he should be staying on strongly from the last. At around 20/1, he rates a sporting each way bet.
15:00 3:00 Lingfield
The Euphrates
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@8.50
Lose
-100
The Euphrates may be the O’Brien 2nd string but for me, Illinois had the harder race of the 2 in The Ballysax a month ago and while both should be well suited by the step up in trip and the better ground, preference is for The Euphrates. He has a low, quick action and should be seen to better effect on today’s better ground and take quite a step forward. He looked pretty green when scoring at Gowran last year and at around 8/1, he rates a solid each way bet.
14:05 2:05 Ascot
Topanga
Daily Racing
50 EW
@10.00
Lose
-100
Flying Finn is making great strides this season but is raised 14lb for her last win. Interestingly, she still holds an entry in the Musidora so it would be no surprise to see her go close. However, Topanga makes her handicap debut after a troubled run in the Group 3 Fed Darling at Newbury. She should be suited by the step up to 8f here and being nicely drawn in 10, she looks overpriced at around 10/1 and rates a solid each way bet.
Subtotal203
10 May 2024
16:25 4:25 Market Rasen
Misty Mani
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 10/05 at 14:040.50 deduction for Mr Hope Street@1.91 withdrawn at 14:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.50) = 4.75
@4.75
Lose
-13
Mr Hope Street showed improved form last time to score by just under 3l for which he gets a 6lb rise. However, Misty Mani sets the standard here on RPRs and that is without his rider’s 7lb claim. He is suited by today’s sound surface so ran well with credit last time on soft ground which would not have suited. He has dropped 5lb this season and looks on a winning mark. At around 15/2, he looks overpriced and is a sound each way bet.
15:05 3:05 Chester
Passenger
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.25
Win
225
Israr sets the standard on RPRs and unlike his main rival, comes here fit after 2 runs so far this year. He may have gone to the front too soon at Sandown and was run down in the final furlong. He is sure to go close. However, Passenger promised much last season and after looking unlucky in running in the Dante at York, he went of just 8/1 for last year’s Derby. It may prove that the 12F stretched his stamina and his only run after that was when scoring in a Group 3 over 10f at Windsor. He has 2 Group 1 entries in the summer and they are both over 10f so it seems he is expected to go down that route. The yard is starting to hit form this summer and he is expected to score on his first start of the season as he did last year. At around 9/4, he is the one to be on.
14:20 2:20 Ascot
Miss Rascal
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@1.83
Win
166
Miss Rascal went into numerous notebooks after her debut at Newmarket 3 weeks back. She took a few strides to get into a rhythm and was soon at the back of the field, running green. She looked a bit unbalanced heading down the dip but once she hit the rising ground she was noted staying on with purpose without being knocked about. She is sure to come on for the run and will know more today. The form has been franked with the 4th winning the Lily Agnes at Chester 2 days back. On a day when little won from behind, she was one of a few making good late headway. Even at a shade of odds on, she is the one to be on.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Ephesus
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.25
Lose
-100
This looks to be between the top 2 in the market with preference for the O’Brien trained Ephesus. He was the stable 2nd string on debut at Dundalk but stayed on nicely to be nearest at the finish. He is sure to come on for the run and sets the standard here. He doesn’t hold any Derby entries but wouldn’t need to be up to that level to score here. Mr Hampstead is the obvious danger. He made rapid headway turning for home at Newcastle but could only stay on at the same pace in the last 2 furlongs. He followed up with a similar RPR on re-appearance at Newbury, again keeping on well through the final furlong to finish 4th. Both colts should relish the step up to 12f here, but ready preference is for the Ballydoyle colt who is the Nap of the day
Subtotal278
09 May 2024
17:20 5:20 Stratford
Home Sweet Highway
Daily Racing
50 EW
@11.00
Lose
-100
Home Sweet Highway makes his handicap and chase debut having seen his handicap mark drop 6lb although he has yet to race in a handicap. He has had only 2 runs in the past 14 months and they were both on testing ground. His action suggests he will be better on a sound surface and he is certainly has the build of a chaser. In addition, he sports cheekpieces for the first time and the yard has a useful 24% strike rate (48% placed) with first time cheekpieces and at around 10/1 and with just 6 runners, is worth and each way interest to finish in the first 2.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Deauville Legend
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-100
Some disappointing sorts with points to prove for me. Point Lonsdale just about sets the standard but for me, he has yet to prove he stays 12f never mind 13.5f. Also, Ryan Moore was quoted to say he felt he didn’t handle the track in last year’s Huxley. Arrest was well held on re-appearance and not for the first time, he raced wide of the field. Also, he has shown his best form on soft ground which he will not get today. I think it is worth siding with Deauville Legend who will relish the ground which will be drying throughout the day. He has not been seen for 257 days but started last season after a 235day break when he was less than 3l behind Pyledriver in the Group 2 Hardwicke when not getting a clear run. He now sports blinkers after 1 run in cheekpieces and he is proven at the trip. His trainer has said he hopes he now has him back to the form he showed as a 3yo and if he has, he should resume his winning ways. At around 7/2, he is the Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Chester
Jayarebe
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-100
Jayarebe impressed the clock watchers when scoring on re-appearance at Newmarket. He raced with the pace throughout clocking quick fractions and stayed on the strongest up the hill to the line. This extra furlong should be within reach for him. The ground will be fine and again, he should be able to race fairly prominently and the track should suit this prominent racer. God’s Window has only raced on testing ground so has a bit to prove and while Aiden O’Brien’s record in the race speaks for itself, Capulet did look a little one-paced when behind Dragon’s Laugh at Chelsmford. At around 5/2, Jayarebe is the one to be on.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Huntingdon
Imperious Star
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-100
Imperious Star has only had the 2 runs over hurdles and on both occasions, looked as if she would benefit from a step up in trip in accordance with her pedigree. She steps up to 2.5m here and is only 2lb off the RPR top rated. Being out of a Presenting mare, she should be well suited by both the trip and the sound surface she will get today. The yard has a 26% strike rate at the track in the past 5 years and she is one of only 2 runners here today. At around 4/1, she is the value bet.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Never So Brave
Daily Racing
200 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.00 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG
@2.00
Win
200
Never So Brave was always travelling well on re-appearance at Thirsk and having raced just behind the front rank for much of the race, made smooth headway from 3f out and won readily. That was his first run for 274 days and he is sure to improve for the run. Clearly suited by this 7f trip, the form of his first 2 runs have been well franked subsequently and this one fits the bill of a ‘Group horse in a handicap’. His opening mark of 94 looks generous to say the least and he can take this before going on to better things.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
08 May 2024
17:40 5:40 Fontwell
An Cailin Ciuin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Nothing stands out here so a chance is taken with the ex-Irish An Cailin Ciuin. She has had 2 runs since coming over from Ireland and showed much improved form last time after a wind op. Also, that was good ground after mainly running on testing ground. In addition, she steps up in trip which should suit her. At around 20/1, she is worth a small each way interest in this modest event.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Agenda
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-100
Grosvenor Square sets the standard on RPRs but he comes here without a prep run and only 4 of the last 21 winners came here without a prep run. Agenda may look the 2nd string but he won really nicely at Dundalk on re-appearance, striding out well through the final furlong. That was an impressive performance in light of the fact he is not actually 3 years old until 31st of this month! He won going away and while his full brother Subzero didn’t race beyond 10f, he only raced 4 times and was staying on nicely at the end of that last run. Agenda has a lovely long stride and drawn in stall 3, he should be able to jump and get into his stride. The further they went at Dundalk, the better he looked so this trip should be ideal. At around 6/1, he is fancied to upset his better fancied stable companion and looks the value bet.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Chester
Seaward
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-100
Seaward created a good impression when scoring on her 2nd run at Ascot last September. She jumped out and made all, striding out nicely on the good ground. She has a fluent fast action so is likely to be best on a sound surface. She looked as if she was going to be swallowed up when challenged by Climate Action over 1f out but she showed a willing attitude and kept on well to score. She was then pitched in to the Group 1 Fillies Mile at Newmarket where she found the heavy ground totally against her, constantly changing her legs. To her credit she was still there 2f out before the ground got too much for her and she dropped tamely away. That is by far the best race on offer from today’s runners. She comes here in preference to the Lingfield Oaks Trial on Friday and looks way overpriced at around 12/1. She rates the Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:10 Kelso
Magical Hill
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 08/05 at 10:170.50 deduction for Pinot Rouge@1.91 withdrawn at 12:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.50) = 3.25Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.25 BOG
@4.00
Win
180
Pinot Rouge sets a very clear standard on RPRs but all of her runs have been on soft or heavy ground and she will find conditions very different here. If she acts on the ground, she will go close but I would rather look elsewhere. Magical Hill has run to consistent RPRs in his 3 hurdle races and has a bit to find on RPRs under a penalty. However, he was clearly at home on the good ground at Huntingdon so he will be fine on today’s Spring ground. He looked in trouble turning for home at Huntingdon but he stuck on well to see it out. That was over 2m and he should be better suited by this longer trip today. At around 9/2, he rates a solid each way bet.
Subtotal-70
07 May 2024
19:12 7:12 Southwell
Therapist
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.20 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@4.20
Win
320
Therapist was useful on the Flat with an OR of 81. While she has only won one race in her life, she has optimum conditions today. Her 3 qualifying runs have come on soft or good to soft and she gets good ground for the first time over hurdles today. She looks to have a potentially generous opening handicap mark and considering that she was contesting Class 2 and 3 handicaps on the Flat last summer, this should be her easiest task to date. In addition, her latest run was during the Henderson ‘lean’ spell, and they are in better form now. She sets the standard on form and could prove to be on a very generous mark. The yard has a good strike rate here (30%) and at around 15/8, she rates the value bet.
17:42 5:42 Southwell
Gale Mahler
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
600
The 2 who set that standard on form, Asian Start and Roaring Home, both finished a similar distance behind the Harry Fry trained Anno Power in NHFs about 2 months apart so there should be little between those 2. However, they both have plenty of stamina in their pedigrees so may find this 2m sharp enough. Gale Mahler was well backed from 9/4 to 6/5 on her debut at Sedgefield. That race was run at a crawl which would not have suited and the ground was rather soft. Being out of a Presenting mare, she is likely to be better suited by today’s better ground and now wears cheekpieces. The yard doesn’t have too many runners over jumps but when they do, Henry Brooke is the ‘go to’ jockey and is 4-11 (4 places) in the past 5 years and he is on board today. At around 17/2, she rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
14:25 2:25 Ffos Las
Old Time Chaser
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.50
Lose
-100
A handful of promising types who will be seen to better effect over fences further down the line. Old Time Chaser was 3rd in an Irish PTP, the form of which has worked out very well. He made his debut at Ascot back in March at a time when the yard was going through a bad spell. That was over 2m3.5f and it looked as if that was plenty sharp enough for him. He will be suited by the step up to today’s trip and the yard has a very good record at the track, with 11-33 in the past 5 seasons and he is their only runner today. Patriotik will also relish the step back up in trip but giving weight to the selection may prove a tough ask. At around 5/2, he looks the value bet.
Subtotal820
06 May 2024
16:25 4:25 Warwick
In This World
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-100
This lightly raced 6yo has had a fairly light career over jumps due to a nasty injury sustained as a juvenile. He is now 15lb below his opening handicap mark as he makes his chasing debut. At one time, favourite for the Triumph Hurdle in his day, he has been taking on better opposition than this in his 4 hurdle races last season, taking in Class 2 and 3 handicaps. Now drops to a Class 4 for his chasing debut but if he can get anywhere near his hurdles form then he must go close here. At around 10/3, he is worth an interest on chasing debut.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Kempton
Fasol
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-100
Ideal Des Bordes sets the standard and a line can be put through his las run when the yard was going through a lean spell. He has since had a wind op and he is sure to do better today. However, the Nicholls trained Fasol takes the eye. He showed up well in Listed and a Group 3 event in France on the Flat so the 2m trip on hurdles debut will have been sharp enough for him. He has been given a 3 month break to get over that hurdles debut and now stepping up to 2m 5f, he is sure to give a better account. At around 2/1, he is the one to be on.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Beverley
Princess Alex
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG
@3.25
Win
225
It often pays to lead at Beverley and with the inside stall, Princess Alex is ideally drawn to repeat her forcing tactics from Haydock last time out. If she jumps from the stalls as she did at Haydock, she should be able to get to the inside rail and will take a deal of catching. Her win was on heavy ground so the soft ground today should be no issue. In addition, her win was in a Class 4 and she now drops to a Class 5. At around 2/1, she is the one to be on.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Warwick
Miss Ghillie
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-100
I’ve been waiting for Miss Ghillie making her handicap debut and she gets that today. She has plenty of stamina in her pedigree and her best run was over a similar trip at Hereford when she finished 5th albeit well beaten. She followed up at Lingfield on pretty soft ground when she only beat one home. Has since been given almost 3 months off and starts off a fair mark of 82. She has been nibbled at in the market this morning and at around 14/1, she rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Windsor
Charlie Mason
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG
@4.00
Win
300
Charlie Mason finished behind Kiss And Run on re-appearance at Bath but he fly jumped out of the stalls losing a few lengths. He had to be switched over 1f out and kept on nicely to the line. The extra half furlong will suit him here so while only 1lb better off, there is likely to be a good pace with both Kiss And Run and Different Breed likely to dictate. With only 5 runners, Rossa should be able to put him where he wants him and he will be staying on well at the finish. He acts on soft ground so has a lot in his favour. At around 11/4, he is the one to be on.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Curragh
Arizona Blaze
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-100
Arizona Blaze just about sets the standard here and is fancied to follow up his CD win 7 weeks ago. He was doing his best work at the finish that day and is sure to better for the experience. He is said to be being aimed at Royal Ascot so likely to be going there unbeaten. The Aiden O’Brien yard has not kicked into form as yet this year and while Whistlejcket is likely to be better suited by this trip, I would rather see the yard in better form. At around 5/2, Arizona Blue looks the value bet.
Subtotal125
05 May 2024
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Dance Sequence
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-100
Plenty in with chances here but preference is for the Godolphin filly Dance Sequence. She has a nice profile having won on both starts at 2 years then still looking a little green when runner up in the Nell Gwyn at this track 3 weeks back. This daughter of Dubawi should be well suited by the extra furlong today and should be spot on after the Nell Gwyn. At around 7/1, she is fancied to land the Guineas double for the Appleby yard and is the Nap of the day.
15:20 3:20 Salisbury
Lihou
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-100
Lihou is used to keeping rather better company than this and drops to a Class 5 for the first time since December 2022. Despite his advancing years he still recorded an RPR in the early 80s as recently as January and he has dropped 9lb since that run. In a small field, he should have no excuses for getting a run and at around 7/2, rates the value bet.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Silver Lady
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.75
Lose
-100
A number of these are running over a trip short of their best. On the opposite end of the scale is Silver Lady who does have a tendency to over race but with a decent pace likely with Astral Beau in the field she should get a decent pace to aim at. She recorded her best RPR last time in Meydan and has been given a break since then. The stable is in good form so at around 11/4, she looks the ne to be on.
Subtotal-300
04 May 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Iberian
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-100
City Of Troy is a worthy favourite but favourites don’t have a great recent record in this race. In addition, his win in the Dewhurst was on soft ground and the subsequent runs of the 3rd and 4th hardly smack of being beaten by a superstar. At the odds, I would rather take him on. Richard Hannon is very keen on the chances of Rosallion and he is sure to give a good account. However, being by top sprinter Blue Point, whose progeny are mainly about speed, I’m not convinced he will be suited by a stiff 8f. The one for me is Iberian. We know that Rosallion was beaten by the softer ground when behind Iberian at Doncaster but Iberian is said to be unsuited by soft ground also. Yes, Iberian was well behind City Of Troy in the Dewhurst that was on soft ground, but again, he is expected to be seen in better light on today’s better ground. He has been to Newmarket for a racecourse gallop and at around 40/1, Iberian is seen as a sporting each way Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Majestic
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.00
Win
20
Ran with credit on re-appearance, leading just over 1f out before fading in the final furlong. The yard are in very good form at the moment with 8-20 in the past 14 days. He is sure to be straighter for that run and while he has not won since taking the Cambridgeshire over CD in 2022, he does go well here and with yard bang in form, at around 7/1, he looks a solid each way bet with 5 places available.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Newmarket
Rabaah
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@7.50
Lose
-100
A competitive handicap but the need to be handy at this track has been emphasised even more so far this season. The one to take the eye is Charles Hills’ Rabaah who has been aimed at this race all year. He has not raced since last June due to various problems, but Hills is confident that they have been ironed out now. He has only seen the track 5 times so he should still have scope for improvement. He is considered a Pattern racer so if he is a Group horse lurking in a handicap then today could be the day to catch him. At around 7/1, he looks a solid each way bet.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-180
03 May 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Bold Style
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-100
Bold Style raced alone and took a keen hold on re-appearance over CD just over 2 weeks ago. While he finished just behind Boiling Point that day, he is thought to have come on for the run and the yard have really hit form of late with 4-9 in the past 14 days. If his last run ahs taken the freshness out of him then with the yard in such good form, he looks the value bet at around 11/4.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Goodwood
Indian Creak
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-100
Indian Creak comes here having dropped back to his last winning mark of 87. He showed good speed to lead up the centre of the course on re-appearance at Newbury before being headed over 1f out and weakening quickly in the final furlong though he was not given a hard time once his chance had gone. He will come on for the run. He has been dropped 2lb for that run and today has regular rider Rose Dawes back on board claiming a further 5lb off his back. Last season he won on his 2nd run on soft ground at Windsor making all to score by 3.5l. He was 2nd twice from 2 runs in May the year before and 1-1 in May the season before that so he is clearly a Spring horse. He should be able to dictate fractions from his low draw and could take some pegging back. The yard is bang in form with 6-24 in the past 14 days including their last 2 runners. At around 18/1, he looks way overpriced and is a solid each way Nap of the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Musselburgh
Zaphea
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.00
Win
400
Zaphea is turned out again just 4 days after her seasonal re-appearance where she raced very keenly, leading until inside the final furlong when her exertions took their toll. That should have taken the freshness out of her and with Mulrennan retaining the ride, he will know her better today. With the rail to race against, she can jump out and make all. Hopefully, she will settle better today and if she does can make every post a winning post. At around 4/1, she is a sound each way bet.
13:40 1:40 Musselburgh
Northerner
Daily Racing
50 EW
@7.00
Win
25
Circus Lion has been all the rage in the early exchanges this morning and looks sure to give a good account. However, this is his first run since last September and he did hang left throughout on his 2nd run last year so I wouldn’t want to be on at a short price and he does have a few lbs to find. The one for me is Northerner who ran with promise on debut last year despite an awful run throughout. She was slowly into stride and was soon faced with a bend where she dropped to the back of the field. One by one she had to be switched around every runner before staying on well to the line without being knocked about. She finished behind Obligatory on re-appearance but again had to be switched over 1f out by which time the winner had flown. She has a quick action so she will better suited to today’s sound surface. She gets weight from her 2 main market rivals and despite being on the drift looks overpriced at around 6/1 and warrants each way support to finish in the first 2.
Subtotal225
02 May 2024
18:00 6:00 Punchestown
Sire Du Berlais
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.00
Lose
-100
Teahupoo sets the standard and is unbeaten in 2 this season. However, he has been unplaced in both runs at the track and though not beaten far in this last year when 4th, he was behind 2 of today’s rivals. At the price, I have to look elsewhere. This is Sire Du Berlais’ time of year and while he does have a little bit to find, at around 8/1, he rates a sporting each way bet. Asterion Forlonge should also go well at each way odds.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
Vital Island
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Coko Beach is the class act and clearly sets the standard here. However, he has yet to win at this trip though his 3 attempts have been in the Grand National. He has run in that race for the last 3 years and he usually re-appears at Limerick the following October. It is only 19 days since he ran at Aintree so at the odds I would rather look elsewhere. Enda Bolger has won this 14 times in the past so Birchdale is respected though he has yet to prove he stays this far. This is often won by a veteran with a 14yo and 15yo winning in the past 10 years. Vital Island won this last year and comes here relatively fresh. He has plenty of experience of this track and his jockey knows him. At around 20/1, he rates a sporting each way bet.
16:02 4:02 Ayr
Vellner
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@5.50
Win
450
An extremely modest and disappointing bunch but the one that jumps out is Vellner. His trainer has only ever sent two horses to Ayr, one won & the other was 2nd. He showed some decent form in his earlier days in Ireland before joining his current yard. He has tried a variety of distance in his last 6 runs from 8f to 12f but his best recent run was 2 starts back over 8f at Kempton when a 4l 5th. Last time over 10f on soft ground at Doncaster he weakened out of it in the final 2f so a return to 8f should suit. With only 6 runners and an experienced rider back on board, he should be able to sit where he wants and at around 9/2 in such a poor race, is a sporting bet.
15:27 3:27 Ayr
Sycamore Gap
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
This looks an ideal opportunity for Sycamore Gap to finally get off the mark. This ex-Godolphin inmate cost 200,000 guineas as a yearling although he didn’t see the track for them. He was backed in to favourite on course debut in a 2m NHF on turf at Newcastle where he travelled strongly until 3f out so we know the ground is fine. Has since had 5 runs on the AW with the 2nd of which he was noted making good late headway through the final furlong to be nearest at the finish over 8f. Eventually upped to 9.5f at Wolves last time, he again travelled strongly out the back in a race run at a crawl so was never going to land a blow on top of which he was very weak in the market, 9/1 from 9/2. That was his handicap debut and he has been dropped 1lb for that. Hollie now takes the mount and with a likely decent pace on here and a small field, she should be able to get a clear run and is likely to be staying on strongly at the finish. At around 10/3, he is the Nap of the day.
Subtotal200
01 May 2024
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
William Munny
Daily Racing
Willie Mullins always plays a strong hand in this but when Barry Connell tells you he has the best bumper horse in Ireland, you take notice! William Munny travelled on the bit last time out at Naas but showed an excellent turn of foot when asked to win his race. He has been freshened up with a 2 month break since then and this was always his target. Remembering how much his trainer talked up Our Conor back inn 2013, at around 4/1, he looks excellent value.
15:50 3:50 Pontefract
Stately Home
Daily Racing
Races over this CD favour low drawn runners and preferably front runners. The one to take the eye is Shaun Lycett’s Stately Home who is nicely drawn in stall 2. He can race with the pace and with Garden Oasis making his seasonal re-appearance, Clifford Lee should be able to jump out and get to the inside rail. Lee comes here for only 2 rides and is in a rich vein of form with a 27% strike rate in the past 14 days. Stately Home has been kept busy on the AW this Winter before a fair 4th at Windsor 2 weeks ago. He has won on his only visit to the track (CD) and at around 3/1, is fancied to make virtually all the running.
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Woolhampton
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@4.50
Win
175
Woolhampton sets the standard on RPRs and that is before the 7lb claim of Oliver Searle who knows her well. She was an eyecatcher on re-appearance when given too much to do over 6f at Wolverhampton from her wide draw, staying on well to be nearest at the finish. In addition, her usual blinkers were left off last time but are back on today. She has run 3 times over CD and has yet to be out of the first 3. She should get an even pace to aim at and drawn against the stand rail, she should be staying on strongly at the finish. At around 11/4 she is the Nap of the day.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Answer To Kayf
Daily Racing
Despite being an 8yo, Answer To Kayf has only had 7 races under Rules. This race was named as his target immediately after landing an Incentive race for this series at Naas in February. He recorded his best RPR last time out when 4th in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham and has been kept fresh for this since then. He goes very well for today’s rider who also takes off a valuable 7lb making him clear top rated on RPRs. His best form has been on much softer ground but if he acts on this slightly better surface, he looks overpriced at around 11/4.
14:50 2:50 Ascot
Jasour
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
360
Jasour could do with the rain staying away as he is definitely better on a sound surface. That said, it is described as good to soft on the straight course with just the final furlong softening up. He was impressive when landing the Group 2 July Stakes at HQ last summer, quickening up from last place to win going away. Jim Crowley, who rode him, said that holding him up had been the making of him. He then was well beaten in 2 Group 1s in August and September. The first, he made the running on very soft ground at Deauville then pulled far too hard in the Middle Park so he had nothing left at the finish and he was allowed to come home in his own time. There should be a good pace on here which should allow him to settle and Jim Crowley is back on for the first time since his Newmarket win last July. Provided he doesn’t encounter traffic problems, he can be produced late to take this on the way the Commonwealth Cup back here at the Royal meeting. At around 12/1, he looks overpriced and is a sporting each way bet.
Subtotal385
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
