bowhillbear

I like statistics and researching form. Often a good indicator, but like everything in life - stand back and think logically. Football, tennis, cricket, horse racing fan - but most of all, skiing.

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bowhillbear's Tips History

All tips
All sports
15 May 2024
15:15 3:15 York

Mill Stream

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

A 3 times winner over 6 furlongs, he has finished in the first three 7 times from 11 starts on turf, most recently at Newmarket in April, finishing 2nd of 14 over 6 furlongs in a Group 3 race, returning from a long break after wind surgery. He has suitable going today an an excellent jockey booking in William Buick who has partnered before.
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12:00 Jelena Ostapenko vs Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

10 v 2 in terms of ranking, Sabalenka leads 2-0 head to head although this is their first meeting on a clay court. Sabalenka has won 23 of 29 matches this year including 9 of 11 on clay courts. Ostapenko has won 24 of 33 matches in 2024 including 7 of 10 matches on clay court surfaces.
09:30 Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

28 v 85 in terms of ranking, Boulter leads 4-1 head to head, all 4 wins in straight sets, although today is the first meeting on a clay court. Boulter has won 14 of 22 matches this year including 1 of 4 on clay courts whilst Dart has won 15 of 27 matches in 2024 including 3 of 7 on clay court surfaces.
14 May 2024
20:00 Tottenham v Man City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

Very short odds, but likely, with 6 goals in the reverse leg and at least 5 scored in 3 of the last 4 Premier League meetings. Tottenham are 2-0-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-15, with over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of those 6 games. Manchester City are 6-0-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 24-4, seeing at least 4 goals scored in 5.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.45

Lose

-50

3 of the last 4 meetings in the Premier League have seen both sides score, an the last 14 Tottenham home league games have also seen both sides scoring. Tottenham are 2-0-4 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 9-15, both teams scoring in 4. City are 6-0-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 24-4, both sides scoring in 3, but Tottenham have scored in all of their home PL matches this season.

Over 11.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

A high count, but there were 18 corners in the reverse fixture (Man City 10, Tottenham 8) and in their last 3 home league games the Tottenham match corner counts have been 12 (9-3), 14 (8-6) and 14 (12-2) v Burnley, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest. Away from home the recent Manchester City match corner counts have been 8 (7-1), 9 (5-4) and 8 (4-4) v Fulham, Nottingham Forest and Brighton.
18:30 Sparta Prague v Banik Ostrava

Sparta Prague

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

1st v 5th, Sparta Prague are unbeaten in 18 matches against Banik Ostrava in all competitions, and beat them 4-3 in April. They are 4-2-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 16-8, whilst Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

There were 7 goals scored when the teams met in April and 3 of the last 4 meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Sparta Prague are 4-2-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 16-8, with at least 4 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 matches. Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16, seeing over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of those 6 games.

Sparta Prague #4-2

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Sparta won 4-3 when the sides met in April, and they are 4-2-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 16-8, including wins by 3-1, 4-1 and 4-2. Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16, including a 3-2 win, two 2-2 draws and a 0-5 defeat.
15:00 3:00 Southwell

Jeteye

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

A lightly raced 7 year old, making his 'chasing debut. He finished 2nd of 13 over hurdles over course and distance on heavy ground when last seen in April. Jonathan England is his regular partner and rides today. Tongue tie wearing for the second time, he looks well handicapped and has a good chance to win on debut over fences.
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13:30 Alexander Zverev vs Nuno Borges

Alexander Zverev

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

5 v 53 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Zverev having won 24 of 33 matches in 2024 including 6 of 9 on clay courts. Borges has won 20 of 33 matches this year including 8 of 12 on clay court surfaces.
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool

Draw

50 WIN

@4.75

Win

188

4th v 3rd, Aston Villa are winless in 7 v Liverpool in all competitions, with both 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the Premier League, Villa with a goals aggregate of 11-11 and Liverpool 11-10. A draw today looks a likely outcome.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

14 of the last 15 meetings in all competitions have seen at least 2 goals scored with 10 of the last 14 registering over 2.5 goals. Villa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with 4 of those 6 matches seeing at least 4 goals scored. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6, also seeing at least 4 goals scored in 4 of those games.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings in all competitions, with Villa 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the league, both teams scoring in 4 of those matches. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6 recently, again with both teams scoring in 4, and Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 9 Premier League matches.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

4th v 3rd, Villa are winless in 7 in all competitions against Liverpool and they are 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 11-11, including 2-2 and 3-3 draws. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 11-10, including two 2-2 draws.
19:45 Fiorentina v Monza

Fiorentina

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

9th v 12th, Fiorentina won the reverse fixture 1-0 and they are 2-1-3 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 10-7. Monza are 0-3-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 6-10. A home win looks likely today.
17:35 5:35 Windsor

Lennox

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

A lightly raced 3 year old with a good chance in a field of 7. He placed on an all weather surface at Wolverhampton in November, then after a break returned to finish 2nd of 8 over 8 furlongs at Yarmouth in April. Upped in distance today which should suit, with regular jockey Hayley Turner due to ride.
11:00 Northants vs Gloucestershire County Championship

Northants

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Each has won 1 of the last 5 meetings with 3 drawn. 5th v 8th(bottom) in the Table, Northamptonshire have home advantage, and are unbeaten in their last 5 championship matches, winning 1 and drawing 5. Gloucestershire are winless in their last 5 championship matches, drawing two with one abandoned without a ball bowled.
12 May 2024
19:30 Dinamo Bucharest v UTA Arad

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Goals probably likely, with Dinamo Bucharest 1-3-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 7-8, with at least two goals scored in each of their last 4 matches. UTA Arad are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 11-6, with at least two goals scored in each of their last 5 games including over 2.5 goals in 3.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Aerospace

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced Irish 4 year old, he returned from a break and Stable move post gelding to win twice in succession, finishing 1st of 8 over 9.5 furlongs at Wolverhampton in March and then 1st of 7 over 10 furlongs at Newcastle in April. Upped to 12.5 furlongs which should suit, he has a good chance of a hat trick of all weather surface wins with Luke Morris, who partnered to his first win, riding again today.
17:30 Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia

Danielle Collins

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

15 v 23 in terms of ranking, Collins leads 4-0 head to head, all straight sets wins on hard courts. Collins has won 29 of 37 matches this year including 9 of 10 on clay court surfaces, whilst Garcia has won 14 of 25 matches in 2024 including 5 of 8 played on clay court surfaces.
16:30 Man Utd v Arsenal

Man Utd

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

8th v 2nd, United are 1-3-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-15, and need a big reaction after a 0-4 defeat v Crystal Palace. They lost the reverse fixture 1-3 but have won the last 2 home meetings, scoring 3 goals each time, and they have only lost 1 of the last 17 home meetings in the Premier League against Arsenal who are. 5-0-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 16-4.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-50

The last 5 meetings have all seen at least 4 goals with Manchester United 1-3-2 from 6 recently, with at least 4 goals scored in 5 of those 6 matches. Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in all 6 and over 2.5 goals scored in 4.

Man Utd & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Both sides have scored in each of their last 5 meetings, with Manchester United winning the last two at home 3-1 and 3-2. They have lost just 1 of the last 17 head to head at home in the league and are 1-3-2 from 6 recently with both teams scoring in 5. Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 recently, scoring in 5 and concedi in 2.

Man Utd #3-2

50 WIN

@46.00

Lose

-50

United have won the last two home matches against Arsenal 3-1 and 3-2, and have lost just 1 of the last 17 home league meetings. The last 5 meetings have seen at least 4 goals scored, with 3-2 scores featuring twice and three. 3-1's. Manchester United are 1-3-2 from 6 recently including scores of 4-2, 2-2 twice and 2-3, whilst Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 including a 3-2 score.

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

In a traditionally competitive fixture over 4.5 cards seems very possible. In the reverse fixture this season there were 5 bookings (Arsenal 3, United 2) and in this fixture last season there were 6 cautions (United 3, Arsenal3).
11 May 2024
19:45 Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town

Milton Keynes Dons #5-2

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

With Crawley 3-0 ahead after the first leg, but MK Dons winning the last 3 home meetings, including the league meeting 2-0, this could be a goal fest. MK Dons are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-17, including a 5-3 win and 4-4 and 3-3 draws. Crawley are also 2-2-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 11-10, including 2-3 and 1-4 defeats.
17:30 Nottm Forest v Chelsea

Nottm Forest

17th v 7th, a win would virtually guarantee Forest Premier League survival, and they won the reverse fixture 1-0 and drew both meetings last season. Forest are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-11, whilst Chelsea are 3-2-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 17-9. Forest have to be positive with home advantage and Chelsea have been unreliable this season.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

There was just 1 goal scored in the reverse fixture but a high scoring game seems likely in a match that Forest need to win to virtually secure Premier League survival. They are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-11, with at least 2 goals scored in all 6 and over 2.5 goals in 4. Chelsea are 3-2-1 from 6 recently, also seeing at least 2 goals in all 6 and over 2.5 goals in 5.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Afadil

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Consistent recently, with cheekpieces seeming to help, he has finished in the first three 8 times from 14 starts over hurdles, most recently finishing 4th of 15 over 2 miles at Ayr in April. Freddie Gingell is his regular jockey who claims 3lb's and Trainer Paul Nicholls is in good form. Today's distance of almost 2 miles will suit.
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15:00 Bournemouth v Brentford

Draw

10th v 16th, the reverse fixture was drawn as was this match last season. Bournemouth are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-10 whilst Brentford are 2-3-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 10-5, having now drawn 4 of their last 7 matches.
15:00 Newcastle v Brighton

Newcastle

6th v 11th, Brighton won the reverse fixture but Newcastle have won the last two home meetings. Newcastle are in good form, 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-5, whilst Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 2-11.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-50

There were 4 goals in the reverse fixture and 5 in this match last season. Newcastle are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-5, their last 4 matches seeing goals totals of 5,6, 2 and 4. Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 2-11, with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 matches.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

12th v 14th, Wolves have lost 5 of the last 6 Premier League meetings, including the reverse fixture 2-3. Wolves have home advantage but are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-13 whilst Palace are in good form, 4-1-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 15-7, having beaten Manchester United 4-0 in their last game.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

There were 5 goals scored in the reverse fixture and more seem likely today. Wolves are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in 5 and over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 6 matches. Crystal Palace are 4-1-1 from 6 recently, also with at least 2 goals scored in 5 and over 2.5 goals in 3.
10 May 2024
15:40 3:40 Chester

Magellan Strait

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

He has finished in the first three 4 times from 10 starts on turf, and has won his last two races, 1st of 30 over 17 furlongs in the Irish Cesarewitch at Curragh, then in January 1st of 4 over 16 furlongs at Dundalk (all weather). Blinkers wearing, he has good going today over a suitable distance with an excellent jockey booking in William Buick who is in good form.
15:00 Ireland vs Pakistan 1st Match

Pakistan

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Lose

-50

11 v 7 in terms of international T20 rankings, Ireland have won 3 of their last 5 T20 internationals but lost their last 2 matches v Afghanistan. Pakistan have won 2 of their last 5 T20 internationals, beating New Zealand twice, with one no result.
13:00 Bangladesh vs Zimbabwe 4th Match

Bangladesh

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

9 v 13 in terms of international T20 rankings, Bangladesh have home advantage and they have won 4 of their last 5 T20 matches, including the first 3 in this series v Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe have lost 4 of their last 5 T20 matches and are 0-3 v Bangladesh in this series.
09 May 2024
20:00 Olympiakos v Aston Villa

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

There were 6 goals in the reverse fixture and more seem likely with Villa needing to overturn a 2-4 deficit. Olympiakos are 4-0-2 from 6 recently in all competitions with a goals aggregate of 14-8, seeing over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those games. Aston Villa are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-10, with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 matches.
19:30 Sara Errani vs Amanda Anisimova

Sara Errani

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.20

Win

110

93 v 237 in terms of ranking, Errani won their only previous meeting in straight sets on a hard court. Errani has won 16 of 27 matches this year including 8 of 11 on clay courts whilst Anisimova has won 5 of 9 matches in 2024 including 1 of 3 on clay court surfaces.
18:00 Daniel Evans vs Fabio Fognini

Fabio Fognini

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.65

Win

32

67 v 92 in terms of ranking, Evan's won their only previous meeting, on a hard court, in 3 sets. However he has won just 3 of 10 matches this year including of 3 on clay courts. Fognini has won 10 of 19 matches in 2024, including 6 of 10 on clay court surfaces.
15:05 3:05 Chester

Gods Window

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

Good prospect in a field of 5, having finished a close 3rd of 7 in a Group 1 race at Doncaster over 8 furlongs on heavy ground in October. Retuned from a break for a comfortable 1st of 3 over 8.5 furlongs at Nottingham in April. Up in distance today, which should suit, with both Trainer John Gosden and jockey Kieran Shoemark in good form.
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10:00 Daria Kasatkina vs Tatjana Maria

Daria Kasatkina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.14

Win

7

11 v 65 in terms of ranking, Kasatkina leads 1-0 head to head, and she has won 18 of 28 matches this year including 6 of 8 on clay courts. Maria has won 12 of 25 matches in 2024 including 5 of 9 played on clay court surfaces.

Daria Kasatkina to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

11 v 65 in terms of ranking, Kasatkina won their only previous meeting which was at Indian Wells (hard court) 6-2 6-1, and she has won 18 of 28 matches this year including 6 of 8 played on hard courts. Maria has won 12 of 25 matches in 2024 including 5 of 9 on hard court services. A straight sets win looks likely today.

Daria Kasatkina

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

11 v 65 in terms of ranking, Kasatkina won 6-2 6-1 on their only previous meeting on a hard court at Indian Wells. Kasatkina has won 18 of 28 matches this year including 6 of 8 on clay courts whilst Maria has won 12 of 25 matches in 2024 including 5 of 9 on clay court surfaces. A straight sets win is likely for Kasatkina, in which case she would win the first set.
10:00 Linda Noskova vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Linda Noskova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

29 v 179 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Noskova having won 15 of 23 matches in 2024 including 1 of 3 on clay courts. Stefanini has won 11 of 23 matches this year including 6 of 11 on clay court surfaces.

Linda Noskova

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

29 v 179 in terms of ranking, this is their first meeting, with Noskova having won 15 of 23 matches this year including 1 of 3 on clay courts. Stefanini has won 11 of 23 matches in 2024 including 6 of 11 on clay court surfaces. Noskova should win in straight sets and so win the first set.
08 May 2024
20:00 Peterborough v Oxford Utd

Peterborough

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Peterborough are 13-5-5 from 23 at home and 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-12. Oxford United are 11-4-8 from 23 away and 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 13-3. Oxford won the first leg 1-0 and the league meeting at home 5-0, but Peterborough won 3-0 at home in the regular season. Peterborough have every chance of reversing the first leg defeat with home advantage.

Harrison Burrows

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

As a defender his odds are big, but playing today for the home side, he is not without a chance. He had two shots on target in the first leg, and he has scored 12 goals in all competitions this season. He is also a possible penalty taker.

Peterborough #3-1

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Although Peterborough lost the first leg 0-1 and the away league meeting 0-5, they did win the home league fixture 3-0 and a similar result is possible today. At home in the league they are 13-5-5 with a goals aggregate of 55-28 whilst away Oxford are 11-4-8 with a goals aggregate of 35-32. Recently Peterborough are 2-1-3 from 6 including wins by 2-0 and 3-1 whilst Oxford are 4-1-1 from 6 including a 0-1 defeat and 1-1 draw.
20:00 Real Madrid v Bayern Munich

Real Madrid

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Good odds, with Real Madrid unbeaten in 20 matches in all competitions and 4-2-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 11-5. Bayern Munich are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 13-7 and they have been unconvincing away from home recently.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

The last 6 meetings in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored with 4 and 6 goals in the last two at Madrid. Real Madrid are 4-2-0 from 6 recently with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 4 games whilst Bayern Munich are 5-0-1 from 6 with over 2.5 goals seen in each of their last 4 matches.

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Second leg semi finals tend to see high card counts, and today's referee is Szymon Marciniak is not averse to issuing cautions. There were 4 yellow cards awarded in the first leg with each side receiving two.
13:30 1:30 Chester

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

25

Disappointing at Newbury in April on his reappearance after a long break post gelding, but open to improvement after that race. He has finished in the first three 3 times from 5 starts on turf, and can overcome a wide draw in an open looking race here. Both the Andrew Balding Stable and jockey Oisin Murphy are in good form.
13:30 Katerina Siniakova vs Nuria Brancaccio

Katerina Siniakova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.13

Win

6

36 v 292 in terms of ranking, Siniakova has won 15 of 25 matches this year including 5 of 6 on clay whilst Branaccio has won 15 of 26 matches in 2024 including 13 of 21 on clay court surfaces. This is the first meeting between these two players with a win for Siniakova looking likely.

Katerina Siniakova to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

36 v 292 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Siniakova having won 15 of 25 matches this year including 5 of 6 on clay courts. Branaccio has won 15 of 26 matches in 2024 including 13 of 21 on clay court surfaces. A straight sets win looks likely today.
10:00 Donna Vekic vs Lesia Tsurenko

Donna Vekic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

37 v 44 in terms of ranking, Tsurenko leads 2-1 head to head, although all 3 previous meetings were on hard courts. Vekic has won 10 of 19 matches this year including 1 of 3 on clay courts. Tsurenko has won 8 of 17 matches in 2024 including 1 of 4 on clay court surfaces.

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