Edwinp
Always like to look for opportunities where the favourite may not win and better value is represented elsewhere.
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Edwinp's Tips History
All sports
15 May 2024
11:00 Machida Zelvia v Cerezo Osaka
Machida Zelvia
Cerezo Osaka are in a bad run of form and have only picked up two points in their last five League matches and are likely to lose at second placed Machida Zelvia who have won three of their last five matches and their only defeat was a 1-2 defeat to top team Vissel Kobe.
Subtotal70
14 May 2024
21:00 Girona v Villarreal
Girona
Girona are still fighting with neighbours Barcelona over second place in La Liga and a win at home against Villarreal would temporarily put them back in second place.
20:00 Tottenham v Man City
Man City
80 WIN
@1.38
Win
30
Tottenham probably have neither the defence to keep Manchester City out nor the attack to cause any concerns to their goalkeeper so it should be an easy away win.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
70 WIN
@1.29
Lose
-70
The match between Tottenham and Manchester City is vital for both sides but that is unlikely to stop it being a high scoring match go for over +2.50 goals.
Man City & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
60 WIN
@3.40
Win
144
Tottenham probably will be under pressure throughout this match and neither have the defense to keep Man City out nor the attack to create many chances so go for a Man City win & BTTS - No.
Man City - Man City
Half Time / Full Time
100 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-100
Should be a comfortable win for Manchester City at Tottenham who are barely in the same League so go for the double result Man City - Man City.
19:30 Basel v Stade Lausanne Ouchy
Basel
Basel should beat Stade Lausanne Ouchy at home as they beat them away in the League a month ago 0-2 and since then Basel have had a win and three draws and Stade Lausanne are bottom of the Swiss Super League.
19:30 Grasshoppers v Yverdon Sport FC
Draw
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
Grasshoppers and Yverdon Sport FC have been involved in close matches in their last two head to heads a 3-2 win at home for Yverdon Sport and a 1-1 draw at Grasshoppers in December, it could be a draw again.
18:30 Sparta Prague v Banik Ostrava
Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague beat Banik Ostrava 4-3 only a few weeks ago on the 20th April and probably should have won more comfortably having been 3-0 up early in the second half but an own goal and two late goals for the visitors almost gained them a draw. Should be another win for Sparta Prague.
17:05 5:05 Southwell
Haarar
Daily Racing
Haarar has been running well on the flat and could use his race fitness to get a win here over hurdles in this open looking maiden.
16:00 Mlada Boleslav v Slovacko
Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav have not won a head to head match with Slovacko since 2021 but on current form they might win here as Slovacko are winless in their last nine matches losing six of them whilst Mlada Boleslav had a good 0-1 away win at Banik Ostrava at the weekend.
02:55 Race 8 Mountaineer Park
Aguila Del Rio
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Aguila Del Rio as the only three old in the field could be the least exposed here in this race she won at Turf Paradise in February by keeping to the rail into the straight but lost her way last time being brought wide.
02:30 Race 7 Mountaineer Park
Sensei Lawrence
Daily Racing
Sensei Lawrence could have enough pace to win this over five furlongs he has won five times over slightly further but was taken off his feet in his first race here last time over the minimum four and a half furlongs.
02:05 Race 6 Mountaineer Park
Royal Mahogany
Daily Racing
Royal Mahogany finished well ahead of Josh'n and Maters and Taters last time and looked unlucky as he was squeezed out into last place at the start over a furlong shorter and was flying on the outside from the bend to finish less than a length off the winner.
01:40 Race 5 Mountaineer Park
Spirit Of Windsor
Daily Racing
Spirit Of Windsor should use his race fitness to outpoint Timberry Tiddler in this field as that horse has been off the track for 154 days.
Subtotal42
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool
Draw
Not much for Liverpool to play for in this match between the fourth and third in the Premiership but for Aston Villa they probably need something to fend off a potential last day challenge for fourth place from Tottenham. It could end up a draw.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Not much for Liverpool to play for in this match between the fourth and third in the Premiership but for Aston Villa they probably need something to fend off a potential last day challenge for fourth place from Tottenham. Not likely to have many goals go under +2.50.
19:45 Fiorentina v Monza
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Monza have only obtained three points from their last six matches due to three draws but most of their matches are low scoring and this may be also go under +2.50 goals.
18:40 6:40 Killarney
French Dynamite
Daily Racing
30 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-60
French Dynamite did not perform at his best last season in only two outings but has run well after a break previously so could get at least a place getting weight from the more fancied runners.
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17:30 Lecce v Udinese
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Udinese have slipped into the bottom three relegation places but have their Serie A future in their own hands starting by not losing at Lecce before playing the two teams immediately above them in their final two matches. should be low scoring go under +2.50 goals.
16:35 4:35 Hereford
Golden Maverick
Daily Racing
Golden Maverick won a competitive handicap last time and could go on to get his hat trick of wins by outpointing the other four year old Swift Hawk.
15:45 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo v Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Draw
This fixture finished 1-2 two months back but Etar had two thirds of the possession in the match and Lokomotiv's goals were an own goal opener just after halftime and a last minute winner and fairer result would have been a draw and it could be a draw this time.
14:30 2:30 Hereford
Paddy De Pole
Daily Racing
14:00 2:00 Hereford
Pyffo
Daily Racing
13:47 1:47 Compiegne
Libeccio
Daily Racing
250 EW
@9.00
Lose
-500
Libeccio has run in better class races than his rivals here, he did not do too well last time in a handicap but his previous three races were in a Grade 1 hurdle and two Grade 3 hurdles and he was beaten less than ten lengths in the two Grade 3 hurdles and was fourth beaten 22 lengths by Losange Bleu in the Grade 1.
13:12 1:12 Compiegne
Jango Dairy
Daily Racing
Subtotal-218
12 May 2024
20:44 Race 6 Gulfstream Park
Fastest
Daily Racing
500 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-500
Fastest ran his best race yet first time out this year when second trying to make all over five furlongs.He also ran over course and distance first time out as a two year old when he closed out wide to snatch fifth place. Although drawn wide again he is a fast starter and could go with the pace.
20:18 Race 6 Churchill Downs
Gourmet
Daily Racing
500 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-500
Gourmet was run out of it over a mile at Fair Grounds in her penultimate race after trying to make all. Should win over this shorter distance at Churchill Downs.
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18:30 Bochum v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have already secured the title in the German Bundesliga but will want to retain their unbeaten record for the season and should get another win.
17:35 5:35 Plumpton
Dance And Glance
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@3.75
Win
165
Dance And Glance was tenth of twenty runners in a decent class 2 bumper at Newbury fifty days ago and he could be good enough to get a win here at Plumpton.
17:13 5:13 Ludlow
Fantomas
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 12/05 at 12:010.00 deduction for I Got Stung@21.00 withdrawn at 15:470.15 deduction for Saint Bibiana @6.500 withdrawn at 16:290.15 deduction for Call Me Arthur @5.500 withdrawn at 16:410.00 deduction for Milanese Rose @11.000 withdrawn at 16:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.3) = 8.00
@8.00
Win
20
Fantomas won in a sixteen horse handicap hurdle at Hereford in March off a mark of 81 and now dropped back to 86 he could go close again n a first time visor under seven pound claimer Jamie Brace.
17:00 5:00 Plumpton
Jacamar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Jacamar has tumbled down the handicap with some poor recent runs but he is still only a nine year old and now with Harriet Dickin he could be capable of getting another win from a massive eighteen pounds below his last winning mark from February 2023.
16:38 4:38 Ludlow
Chinook
Daily Racing
100 EW
@41.00
Lose
-200
Chinook could have needed her first run for 160 days when not getting involved over course and distance she was much better over course and distance in April 2023 when fifth beaten only two and a half lengths and she was also third of seventeen at Galway over a similar distance in September 2022 before joining Sheila Lewis and now down to a mark of only 85 she looks good for at least a place.
16:30 4:30 Killarney
The Abbey
Daily Racing
50 EW
@13.00
Lose
-100
The Abbey is potentially now of the downgrade at age eleven but he prefers better going and he is closely matched with Brideswell Lad and Birchdale on their race at Leopardstown in March.
16:30 Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich need another four points from their last two matches to be sure of second place in the German Bundesliga and should get three points at home to Wolfsburg.
16:30 Man Utd v Arsenal
Arsenal
Arsenal are in much better form than Manchester United and an away win to keep the pressure on Manchester City in the Title race is the most likely result.
16:25 4:25 Plumpton
A Tickatickatiming
Daily Racing
40 EW
@5.50
Lose
-80
A Tickatickatiming won a mares maiden hurdle here last November and was also second here in March and should go close again in this handicap getting lots of weight from the four geldings.
16:10 4:10 Leopardstown
Ob La Di
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.00
Lose
-100
Ob La Di was a decent fourth place first time out and has Group race entries so with any improvement from her first run she should go close here.
16:03 4:03 Ludlow
Awesome Foursome
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 12/05 at 11:430.20 deduction for Express Surprise@4.33 withdrawn at 14:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.20) = 5.00
@5.00
Lose
-10
Awesome Foursome wears a first time visor and although only winning one of his sixteen hurdle races he has finished second or third in his last five handicap hurdles and should go close again.
15:55 3:55 Killarney
Saylavee
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@1.30
Win
30
Given that Saylavee's four wins have come on good or yielding going she will appreciate the better going at Killarney for her first run over fences and should win providing she takes to fences.
15:50 3:50 Plumpton
Martin Spirit
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Lose
-100
Martin Spirit made all to win over course and distance in March after wind surgery off a mark of 83 and now on 88 he should still go well in a fairly weak handicap hurdle.
15:35 3:35 Leopardstown
Los Angeles
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@1.80
Win
80
If Los Angeles is to be a classic winner he should be winning this Group 3 race having finished his two year old career unbeaten with a win in a Group 1 in his second and last race just getting up by a neck over this distance at Saint-Cloud.
15:30 3:30 Longchamp
Eben Shaddad
Daily Racing
250 EWNB
@13.00
Lose
-500
Eben Shaddad could improve for his first run this season when second in the Craven Stakes at Newmarket and should be good enough for at least a place in this field.
15:28 3:28 Ludlow
Sergeant Wilson
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Sergeant Wilson should appreciate better going and a sharp two miles and providing he jumps better than last time at Taunton he should go close in this field.
15:20 3:20 Killarney
Music Of Tara
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-60
Music Of Tara could prove to be a better chaser than hurdler she has won her sole point and now a chase at the first attempt after only winning one hurdle race in eleven attempts She may use race fitness to win again here over Solitary Man who goes for his first chase after winning at Listed level over hurdles but not seen for five months.
15:15 3:15 Plumpton
Magistrato
Daily Racing
250 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@8.00
Win
100
Magistrato goes much better on a left-handed track and often goes clear in his races but is more frequently second than winning his races, he should go well again at Plumpton where he was second over course and distance last time.
15:15 Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid will want to secure their Champions League place with a win at home against Celta Vigo who are fifth bottom of La Liga.
15:00 3:00 Leopardstown
Power Under Me
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.00
Lose
-100
Power Under Me is a confirmed Group performer and course and distance winner and could have too much at the finish for listed winner Yosemite Valley who is trying a mile for the first time.
14:53 2:53 Ludlow
Moviddy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Moviddy has won a point and twice over hurdles but has yet to win over fences but did not appear to stay when moved up in distance to three miles for her last two races and returns to two and a half miles. She may be able to give Trapista eight pounds here as Trapista has gone back up fifteen pounds for winning her last two chases after failing to win her previous twelve chases but she did start off a mark of 123 thirteen pounds higher than today.
14:50 2:50 Longchamp
Folgaria
Daily Racing
250 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-500
Unbeaten Folgaria in six outings including first time out this season in the Fred Darling at Newbury where she beat subsequent 1000 Guineas winner Elmalak.
14:45 2:45 Killarney
Set Point
Daily Racing
250 EW
@9.00
Lose
-500
Set Point has been waiting for better going and could have needed the run 12 days ago when weakening before the last after a break of 227 days. Now racefit he should go close.
14:40 2:40 Plumpton
Eliza Dolittle
Daily Racing
Very few of this field have recent form to recommend them but Eliza Dolittle is an exception she ran a decent race last time over course and distance when moved up in distance from two miles. She took up the running going easily two out but blundered and was headed and eventually dropped to third beaten seven and a half lengths. Off the same mark she looks a winner in waiting.
14:25 2:25 Leopardstown
One Look
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-100
One Look was an impressive winner of her only two year old race in the Goffs Million. She had an easy introduction in March to her three year old career and now wears a first time tongue tie for this Group 3 race for fillies.
14:18 2:18 Ludlow
Bellbird
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@4.33
Win
199
Bellbird was a Godolphin bred filly that was placed on the flat in France and did not do too badly first time out over hurdles when third beaten only one and a half lengths at Stratford three weeks ago and with that experience she should go close here.
14:10 2:10 Killarney
Royal Eagle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
This race could go to any of the seven mares in this listed hurdles field but Royal Eagle at six years old is the youngest in the field and probably the most likely to be capable of performing near her peak rating.
14:05 2:05 Plumpton
Alain
Daily Racing
Alain showed improvement in his second race when third at Fakenham last time and would not have to improve much more to win this race at Plumpton.
13:43 1:43 Ludlow
Gower Prince
Daily Racing
Gower Prince was winless in three bumpers and four hurdle races before winning at the first attempt over fences where he took full advantage of his main rival falling at the first fences to take full control of the race from the sixth fence and coast home by ten lengths. He could cope with a ten pound rise in his handicap mark to beat sole rival and chase debutant Matterhorn here.
13:35 1:35 Killarney
Al Gasparo
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 12/05 at 10:000.00 deduction for One Big Boum@41.00 withdrawn at 11:070.10 deduction for Lieber Nicc @7.500 withdrawn at 11:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.1) = 3.70AThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@3.70
Win
135
Al Gasparo may come out on top here through race fitness and probably being a better hurdler than Irish Panther who was decent in bumpers without winning but has made jumping errors in both his hurdle races so far last time making the running and making mistakes at the last three flights in dropping to third when last seen 164 days ago.
13:00 1:00 Killarney
How About No
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
How About No won at Dundalk in February having been a beaten favourite at Navan in his first flat race last October, he has St Faz to beat who has also won on the flat at Down Royal but has also had three runs over hurdles being placed third in two of them but jumping poorly in all of them. If How About No takes to hurdling he should win.
Subtotal-2921
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