chillywatts

Grew up attending P2P's and have 15+ years following racing. A/w and flat specialist but also like the occasional jumps. Trust the process!

Estimated Prizes
this month

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Estimated Prize money
this month

chillywatts's Tips History

28 April 2024

17:55 5:55 Southwell

Eligible

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Came 2.5 Lengths 2nd to Kings Code around here and that form is solid with Jo Mason in the saddle and riding well.

17:25 5:25 Southwell

Woodstock

Daily Racing

30 EW

@5.50

Lose

-60

Looks to be still on the up and can go well for Ruth Carr and Jo Mason on tapeta . Advise a double with Eligible in the last, Jo has a good chance of a double here.

16:40 4:40 Wetherby

Canaria Queen

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 28/04 at 00:140.00 deduction for Rwenearlytheredad@12.00 withdrawn at 11:190.00 deduction for Emperor Caradoc @15.000 withdrawn at 12:170.20 deduction for Special Mayson @4.500 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.2) = 6.20

@6.20

Win

162

16:05 4:05 Wetherby

Manila Scouse

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 27/04 at 23:490.10 deduction for Mountain Warrior@8.50 withdrawn at 07:450.15 deduction for Exalted Angel @5.500 withdrawn at 09:170.10 deduction for Mythical Phoenix @7.000 withdrawn at 09:350.10 deduction for Gemini Star @8.000 withdrawn at 14:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.45) = 3.75

@3.75

Lose

-16

15:55 3:55 Bath

Tiger Beetle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Dropping back to his favourite trip 1m2 Tiger Beetle can go well on soft here and can challenge the favourite who is supposedly 'well in.' There's nothing well in when a horse switches to soft turf ground from A/w so I will take my chances here. He also finished ahead of Tortured Soul on a recent a/w run.

15:10 3:10 Southwell

Sardinian Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

Has Derby entries and showed nice pace flying home from the back of the field when running at Kempton at this distance. That form is also my pick of the performances at Kempton as the top 3 in the market have had a run there . Tapeta should be no problem and powerful yard have high hopes for this horse's future.

27 April 2024

18:50 6:50 Ripon

Billy No Mates

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

17:50 5:50 Ripon

Wen Moon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

This horse has had its run first run of the season and Ben Haslem has a 67% strike rate in the last 2 weeks. This horse has an incredible turn of foot on soft ground and has won some big field handicaps last year, so, should be spot-on from the previous run. Didn't disgrace at all against fitter horses, runs against these today and can turn the tables.

17:05 5:05 Doncaster

Abraaj

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.00

Lose

-100

This Horse finished a neck to Motazzen over 1m5f in France on soft ground and that horse has subsequently won a Class 2 at 1m6 in these conditions. He also finished behind Weetamoo who has contested group races . He has been tried over hurdles but was not up to par and has been moved back to the flat to low level all weather races for summer prep. The class should shine through here now back on turf.

16:10 4:10 Sandown

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.25

Win

125

This horse looks well in today as Langer Dan and Ballyadam won't like the ground and there's nothing else in the field that that can get close in my opinion.

14:25 2:25 Sandown

Hitman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

An upwardly mobile horse and travelled powerfully when 2nd to Shishkin two starts ago, he also has solid form at Sandown. Course form could make the difference today and Nicholls will be hoping for a big result to end the season.

26 April 2024

20:15 8:15 Chepstow

Jersey Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Victoria Malzard get on well with this horse and the back to back wins last season on good ground beating in a class 3 is good form for this race. Now back with suitable conditions I expect some place money for this well handicapped. horse. E/w play

18:10 6:10 Chepstow

Tightenourbelts

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

It's hard to ignore the form behind Hermes Allen and Nickelback in the Grade 2 Novice chase but has been lacking confidence and I feel Emma Lavelle could have this ready today. Diego may well be vulnerable to younger legs as he steps back in trip and the market is speaking for this one. There is water in the air at Chepstow and it won't mind any of that.

17:40 5:40 Chepstow

Matterhorn

Daily Racing

30 EW

@6.00

Lose

-60

The run over 2m when beating Titan Discovery was impressive and that is a decent horse in the context of this race. He also beat Final Encore by 14 lengths which was on good ground which he gets today. Final Encore was beaten by Park Hill Dancer who has contested Class 2 handicaps like Titan Discovery has who came 2 lengths 2nd at Cheltenham to Doyen Quest on good ground. I think this horse could be tanky and with Cobden looking to wrap up the season he will sure go well, even fresh Manorbank the danger.

17:10 5:10 Chepstow

Track And Trace

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

This horse has been pulled up on the last 2 starts but I will keep the faith with this horse back on good ground. Came 11 lengths 2nd over 2m in a maiden to Ginnys Destiny on good ground. Goes will over fences proven in December when finishing 2nd, just a short head from Anglers Cragg over this trip on soft. A better horse than the grade and with the form on offer. E/w bet

13:30 1:30 Perth

Lively Citizen

Daily Racing

30 EW

@7.00

Lose

-60

Can go well off top weight with a big claimer on board who is still looking for his first win but has placed plenty of times. This was also ridden by a big claimer when 4th to El Jefe finishing with Alfadil and Go Danebehind , that is good enough form to win this and will get the same conditions today, hopefully class can shine through.

25 April 2024

19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Revolutionise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

18:15 6:15 Huntingdon

Gms Prince

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has to be worth a shot on good ground with this line-up. Has come 3 lengths to Myristica who has ran very well at this trip in Class 2 handicaps. Coming 3 lengths 4th from the winner. If this horse is fresh is match fit then it will hit the frame. E/w bet

16:45 4:45 Perth

Fortuna Ligna

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Win

125

I think this is going under the radar in this race and is staying strong in the market running from a low weight. Honeyball team on fire and she will appreciate the extra distance today after staying on from a long way back. The extra distance I am hoping finds out the others here while this plods on. E/w play

16:30 4:30 Beverley

Beltane

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-50

On a good mark as now 4lbs lower than win over this trip on soft this time last year. He beat Look Back Smiling in that race off top weight and which is top form in the context of this race. Should be there at the finish!

15:35 3:35 Perth

Rambo T

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

Has proved the most out of this line up and could worry the Mullins horse as it could end up tacky out there today and that is unproven over 2m4f but also nothing other than heavy ground which makes it hard to back. Rambo T finished with Beacon Edge at Cheltenham who only lost 13 lengths to Bob Olinger and Impaire Et Passe at this trip on soft, so this can go close today for Olly Murphy who is trying to hit 100 winners.

15:00 3:00 Perth

Destiny Is All

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

The 2nd to Half Shot over 3m2f at Kelso on GS is form that brings this into play as the ground could be going tacky by 3pm. Far from disgraced when4th by 1.5 lengths in a 4m slog so stamina won't be an issue and soft -good to soft could be the key here and Lucinda's best chance of a winner today.

14:45 2:45 Beverley

Copper Knight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Great Value here - Copper Knight is getting on at 10 years old but does go well fresh and in his reappearance last year he came 2.5 lengths to a Group 1 horse that only lost to Highfield Viking by a length. Has achieved the most in the field so I am taking a punt on this at huge odds. I am sure Tim Easterby will have some money on this himself. E/w play

14:25 2:25 Perth

What A Johnny

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 25/04 at 09:160.15 deduction for Maillot Blanc@5.50 withdrawn at 10:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.15) = 3.83

@3.83

Win

101

The form coming just behind El Jefe can be boosted after that won Class 2 race on soft over 2m at Aintree so that must put him in the frame. The step up in trip looks a good move as he did stay on LTO and with Olly Murphy is on a charge this week and this should go close in this field.

24 April 2024

17:50 5:50 Taunton

Airtothethrone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Has beaten Anglers Cragg over 2m7f on soft which is a lovely but of form in the contact of this race. This will be the 3rd start after wind surgery so should be full right now. He did stay on nicely into 2nd and this 3m2f looks achievable. Jessie Lightfoot will be the danger. E/w play

17:15 5:15 Taunton

Danzini

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Won well in 2022 then lost her way but now back on form. Favourite looks to not like the ground and this look's to be the best 3mile, good grounder in this line-up and can even go further with stamina no issue. Only lost to Lalantos half a length over 3m2 on good and that horse has raced in better races. E.w bet

16:17 4:17 Catterick

Tyger Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

109

Not the most reliable recently but on a much lower mark than this time last year and goes well on Soft/GS . Has been a half length behind Music Society in a Class 2 race on soft and has run well behind Indian Creak, these bits of soft form stand out and with match fitness from the A/w campaign, this 6f specialist should go close. Danger will be Origintrail

15:25 3:25 Perth

Apple Away

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Win

Back down in class and should find this an easier assignment than Cheltenham. Lucinda Russell hasn't got many runners at Perth today and will be hoping this gives it's running. The form to Kilbeg King over 3m is solid and with ground drying it then it won't be an issue, even if goes slightly tacky out there.

14:20 2:20 Perth

Clonakilty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

This horse has been winning on soft over 2m4f in novice events, winning well and gets these conditions again today. Olly Murphy has a load of rides going today and he is desperate to hit 100 winners for the season and he will be hopeful of this horses chances today.

23 April 2024

20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Khathak

Daily Racing

30 EWNAP

@4.50

Lose

-60

Khathak runs well at this track and has come behind some good horses here and also finished better off than Covert Legend when racing here in Feb. Runs off a basement mark and this is an opportunity to be taken here and Fahey team on form.

19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Evaluation

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.00

Win

125

17:15 5:15 Southwell

Basford

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

LTO run may have come too soon as this won by 39 lengths in a Class5 novice event but also has other nice bits of good ground form before that. The Quinlan/Cavendish combo are good at winning these types of races and with good ground favour then we can see this go close today. Great value with 4 places on offer

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Klitschko

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

I have backed Basford earlier E/w but it has not shortened and look back through race replays I think this has a good chance as it looks the best at finishing races. Win bet

14:53 2:53 Southwell

Lermoos Legend

Daily Racing

30 EW

@15.00

Lose

-60

The form beating Topofthecotswolds by 2 lengths on good ground over 2m7f is a good bit of form and has ran respectably in higher grades beating horses like Copperhead over 3m. That's good form in the context of the race and with good ground in favour and Sean Bowen on board, it can be given a solid chance in this. E/w bet

14:18 2:18 Southwell

Star Flyer 0.00

Daily Racing

30 EW

@6.50

Lose

-60

Looking back into good ground form this horse has lost to Kilbeg King by 13 lengths over 2m5f which is probably good enough form to have a chance in this especially if f the favourite isn't match fit. With ground in favour and James Bowen riding who gets on with the horse, solid no risk E/w bet

13:45 1:45 Southwell

Begin The Luck

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has made a better chaser and has a chance in this due to a good win by 17 lengths to Romanor who has come 2nd in a Class 2, 2m chase since and losing by just a headwhich is good form in the context of this race. Ground and long lay- off were the excuses LTO. Could suprise at big odd. E/w play

22 April 2024

18:30 6:30 Kempton

Highstakesplayer

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.00

Win

240

This horse goes well on good ground and can get back up today.Ran very well over 3 miles to win beating Iconic Muddle who is a decent horse so that trip on good ground should be no problem. Risk free with 4 places, large e/w play

16:25 3:55 Pontefract

Dumfries

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

This horse only lost by half a length to Racingbreaksryder on soft over 1m and that is a class 2 handicapper. This must have a chance today at big odds with conditions to suit again. E/w bet

15:42 3:42 Ffos Las

Leissieres Express

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

Run LTO beating Shotboi comfortably over 3m6 was eye catching and the step back to 3m won't be an issue and should be there at the finish.

15:30 3:30 Hexham

Gibberwell

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The form heavy ground over 3 mile coming a length behind Event of Sivola and also Gypsy Lee Rose is solid form as they operate at higher levels than here. This is also down in the weights and Theo Gillard should give it a good go today at a nice price. E/w play

21 April 2024

18:15 6:15 Musselburgh

Quest For Fun

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

I have a feeling this will progress again this season and I like the Easterby /Allen combo in the summer. This offers some value.

17:15 5:15 Musselburgh

My Little Queens

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

16:45 4:45 Musselburgh

Young Fire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

This horse has some handy form over 1m on GS coming 2nd to Wanees in a Class 2 handicap a while back. That horse is decent and also if on form then should be thereabouts. 12 lbs lower than last winand he gets the ground today. This is also getting hammered in the market. E/w bet

16:07 4:07 Wincanton

Gower Prince

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Win

15:35 3:35 Wincanton

Raddon Top

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Shot Boii

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

The form beating Jet Legs over hurdles at 3m on good ground stands out and as a proven chaser this horse has a great chance with good ground today. I also like the form of Rodden Top as I think it will like the ground today and is back chasing, but this to edge it for me. E/w play

14:48 2:48 Stratford

Head On

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

This horse runs better with good in the ground and it has a bit of that today. Hilltown won the race LTO but there were excuses there and could have been there at the finish if better luck in running. Has beaten the Newest One at this trip and ground which is good form in the context of the race. Good value with 4 places. E/w Bet

20 April 2024

18:05 6:05 Thirsk

Thankuappreciate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

Worth go in this race as has a close 3rd behind a listed horse when fresh which is good form and has also finished with Count D'orsey who is a decent benchmark form wise here. Has also beaten Mersea by 4 lengths on soft who is shorter in the market in this race, interesting. E/w Play

15:00 3:00 Ayr

Ottizzini

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

To be nearly the only horse in the race with proven 3mile form and at this price has to be worth a go here. The Skelton horse if taking to the trip should have no problem however the 'value' is with this one. The 6 length win over Cardell in a grade 2 novice on GS over 3m and will be similar conditions to today. That form has been boosted as well. E/w Bet

14:25 2:25 Ayr

Favour And Fortune

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

I like the form just behind Mistergif at Cheltenham with Slade Steel winning that by 9 lengths is top form over this distance and ground. Also, the run behind Jango Bae is up there so in the context of this race, logically this has to have a cracking chance, especially if the jumping can improve. E/ w bet

14:15 2:15 Bangor on Dee

Grain Doudairies

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

13:15 1:15 Ayr

Uncle Phil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Willie Mullins is sending quite a few over and I reckon he will be very hopeful of this one's chances with Paul T on board. This horse beat Saint Roi on soft over this distance by 7 lengths and Sans Bruit was only a 4 length winner when beating Roi last week which makes me think this has a good chance of challenging today. He has also finished with Imagine and that has beaten Inothewayurthinkin which is also good form so the value is here. E/w play

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