david37

Profit is the aim and the first principles applied to all my selections are time, class, weight, trainer and jockey ratings. Normal minimum price is 2/1 but a good bet can turn up at any price. Invariably win bets, rarely EW.

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this month

david37's Tips History

28 April 2024

16:50 4:50 Southwell

Billboa

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Both Paws For Thought and Tiger Crusade could go well here but marginal preference is for the Irish raider, aided and abetted by the wily old rider. Billboa has had his customary month off between races and may well still be well treated. Has won over five and stays the six furlongs well and could easily make all here with a good start.

15:40 3:40 Southwell

Tritonic

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Best pot of the day and the erstwhile champion, seemingly focused like never before, has a good chance to take it on the Queen's Prize fifth who is now below winning mark. The LH track may be a slight concern but the bends are easy and the straights long enough.

15:00 3:00 Wetherby

Gunlock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

There is nothing between the selection and Gemstar on weight rates at this stage but, among other things, the almost irresistible form of the Burke yard makes it the logical choice.

13:50 1:50 Bath

Angel Shared

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.75

Win

Now down to three runners and on soft ground the only logical choice is to go with the original selection which was available around 3/1 last night. Top on both going and time rates.

27 April 2024

20:15 8:15 Doncaster

Diddy Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

His first run for the trainer was a wining one and he seemed to have plenty in hand. That was on the AW so it remains to be seen if he will be as effective on the turf. This is a poor race however and the 5 pounds more he totes tonight won't stop a repeat performance.

19:20 7:20 Ripon

Maries Secret

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

First run for the yard and the change of scene may be just what is required to get some wins on the board - it may not be today but the trip and ground will suit.

19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Justahunch

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Not the best of draws but a good chance on time and weight rates and it is a bad enough race. The trainer has made a big impression in a short time and the rider is making steady progress.

17:20 5:20 Sandown

Kamaxos

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

Both the trainer and the rider have done well at this track and this is a live outsider with the potential to dampen the spirits of the big guns - best on time and weight.

Sa Majeste 0.00

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Willie Mullins surely wont need it by this stage but this looks a well handicapped animal and may well provide a fitting conclusion to what has hopefully been a memorable day's racing for good reasons.

17:15 5:15 Ripon

Hiromichi

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 27/04 at 12:290.20 deduction for Clear Angel@4.33 withdrawn at 12:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.20) = 6.20

@6.20

Win

260

Has gone ok on a RH track and this long straight should suit. Stable has hit the ground running and he has the best of the time figures whilst the trainer has an excellent strike-rate at this course.

17:10 5:10 Navan

Zoffman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

The champ has not won on him the last three attempts but today he may have better fortune. A long time off the track but has run well fresh and the trip should be ok. Has the best of the time figures and the drying ground is a plus.

17:05 5:05 Doncaster

Corsican Caper

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 27/04 at 13:310.10 deduction for Show No Fear@8.50 withdrawn at 15:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.10) = 3.48Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 3.48 BOG

@3.50

Win

125

Clearly benefits from the gentle touch and Saffie gets a chance to add to her tally today after Jo got him home nicely at Catterick. This is a much differnt test but any horse re-appearing within 4 days of a win commands the utmost respect.

16:45 4:45 Sandown

Nickle Back

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Another contender close to nap material. He was very impressive here in the Scilly Isles G1 chase but ran no race at Aintree. Now dropping down in class and is very much the class act in this field and top weights in novice races are the best source of winners as a general rule.

16:10 4:10 Sandown

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.50

Win

Would be nap material on a normal day and he was quite impressive at Aintree and overcame plenty of difficulties. This track should suit and the drying ground and superior time figure should enhance his prospects.

15:35 3:35 Sandown

Enrilo

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@29.00

Lose

-50

It's a big risk but the race is full of potential winners, not least the selection who will be 14 points lower in the scale than when successful in 2021, whereas Kitty's Light, last years winner has gone up in the weights. Enrilo has a useful claimer on board and no pressure at this price.

15:27 3:27 Navan

School Of Law

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Slow progress but the lomger trip may elicit some improvement and the key to success may be the booking of the champion jockey.

15:12 3:12 Leicester

Recon Mission

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

He has had a miserable winter and recent form far from encouraging. Is just as effective on the grass however and is indisputably well handicapped so with Egan booked, it does look quite interesting given the market-prominence.

14:17 2:17 Navan

Alabama

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

It is early in the season and with Moore's intended mount now out, he has opted for Military. There is just as good a chance on the time and weight lines for this one however and a big price - the jockey is no Ryan Moore though.

14:10 2:10 Haydock

Sacred Falls

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Proven on the ground and has the best of the time figures. The draw is on the low side but you never know at this track which side will be best. The rider is a thinker and he will have a plan at least.

14:05 2:05 Leicester

Thunder Roar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Just missed latest and although a few points higher now, the drying ground and the progressive profile suggest there are more races to be won and this trip is ideal.

13:50 1:50 Sandown

Geezer Rockstar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

The yard has been going well enough and the time figures suggest a big run is on the cards and the rider continues to impress when he gets on a live chance.

Panjari

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

With the trainer throwing everything into the last few days there are sure to be a few flops. However, this one will be well suited by the track and the ground and the young rider looks to be a coming force and certainly does not lack enthusiasm.

26 April 2024

16:35 4:35 Cork

Bacchanalian

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Posted a decent speed figure on debut and hopefully should take this on the way to more interesting assignments. Stable has started to hit the board now and will be a force this year.

16:20 4:20 Downpatrick

Gone For Tea

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

Progressive type and a bumper winner. Was probably over-faced last time and now drops back into a maiden and has the figures to take it.

15:00 3:00 Sandown

Lord North

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

He may be the oldest but still the official top rate and well clear on time lines and his G1 form should be good enough to take this. The unexposed Flight Plan probably rates the danger from a yard in good form.

14:05 2:05 Perth

Houston Texas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Stable had a winner here yesterday and has always been a Spring/Autumn kind of yard. Slightly higher than latest winning mark and has plenty of form over staying trips.

25 April 2024

20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Zachary

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

The wily young trainer is a chip off the old block and ehe has found the right race for this one. The only CD winner, in fact the only winner of any kind, in the race and the Wunderkind has been booked to get the job done. A good second latest and well ahead on time figures.

23 April 2024

19:15 7:15 Gowran Park

Neptunes Staircase

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

The stable has made a good start and this one is a progressive type and his latest two runs improved figures somewhat. The fav looks worthy but certainly not impregnable.

20 April 2024

17:45 5:45 Brighton

Lexington Knight

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-50

I would not normally tip anything from this yard, so expensive is it to follow but, with the stable runners clearly in rude health with several winners this week and the fact that this one is top on all measures and on a winning mark, I have weakened. The rider is a capable one although he lacks course experience - I suspect he is the only one involved in the equation that can get this one beaten.

15:35 3:35 Ayr

Inis Oirr

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

The wonders of the universe include a mass of ironies and twists of fate and for Lucinda, this one would be a readily explainable one. After the disaster at Aintree, with Fox on the deck after the first fence, this one was impressive at Musselburgh in their version of this race and the gelding has only run in a handful of chases and clearly stays well.

14:05 2:05 Newbury

Relief Rally

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

But for a nose, she would be unbeaten in 5 races. Already a winner here over 5f and the Lowther over 6f. The reason she is not odds-on is no-one believes she will stay 7f, let alone the mile of the Guineas. Haggas is only human and both he and the owners will want to find out and if she wins today, will surely be supplemented for some kind of 1000 Guineas in Europe. The ground may also be her undoing but even then, there are some mind-blowing possibilities.

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13:30 1:30 Newbury

Hamish

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.33

Win

166

It appears both the yards of Haggas and Gosden are just coming to the boil so this may be a good race. Hamish was impeccable last year and if he reteins his ability and enthusiasm, looks set for another good year. It will be tough to concede the weight to some younger rivals, especially Arrest, but the ground is right and he should get the right kind of pace to show off his staying power.

19 April 2024

17:45 5:45 Bath

Adaay In Devon

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Win

150

She overcame some difficulties to win here latest on very bad ground. The better ground today will not inconvenience her and the trainer has booked one of the best turf riders in the world. Top on the clock and can land a blow for the 3yo generation.

17:07 5:07 Ballinrobe

Cappacurry Ealu

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Steady progress and seems to handle the conditions ok. has the best of the weight rates and the drop back in trip may be a plus if the correct tactics are employed.

15:20 3:20 Ayr

Bass Rock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has good form over fences and hurdles and has dropped to a very favourable mark. The big trainers are throwing everything into the last couple of weeks and the title is up for grabs. There will be occasions though when horses and riders with course experience will make it difficult for those pretenders. This may be a case in point and the trainer and rider in this case are no strangers to success in the north.

14:42 2:42 Newbury

Beatrice Shilling

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.50

Void

She made a nice debut over 1m in a Leicester novice event. Sure to appreciate the step up in trip and likely to handle the ground she can get off the mark for the high strike-rate yard.

18 April 2024

20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Shallow

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

A second at Kempton and two comfortable wins here so the top weight looks set to land the treble and although higher in the weights, looks a progressive type and may well finish the season in much better races than this one.

19:15 7:15 Clonmel

Bleu De Vassy

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG

@5.00

Win

200

It is always tough to beat Willie Mullins in a bumper at any track. The fav, almost by default due to coonnections, is not unbeatable and this Elliott runner has figures good enough to take this and a top rider on board.

18:45 6:45 Clonmel

Seangoell

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

The handicapper has shown him no mercy and raised him for both of his recent defeats. Despite that, there are reasons to be hopeful - now with Alexandra Dunn and the change of scene may have helped. Took a rather circuitous route latest (which may have been the plan) and Tom Queally booked today which is a positive.

18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City

Mystery Monarch

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

His main distinguishing feature is that he is a 5yo running in an open maiden. Clearly has had issues with only three lifetime starts. Showed promise on the second of those runs and a repeat would put him in the picture today.

17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Breguet Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Amateur riders so a standard wealth warning. On the plus side the trainer has top strike rate at the track and the rider has had plenty of rides on this horse, including a win on the turf. Stays further and should make the frame.

17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Poet Master

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Win

175

Would be unbeaten but for the poor run at Haydock and that may have been a furlong too far. Unbeaten over 6f and 7f and with the prevailing wind behind him, will be hard to beat today and the market signals support the case. The stable has started well and has some live chances today.

17:10 5:10 Clonmel

Walmix

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

She must give weight all around and the ground is not ideal but her consistency could be rewarded today and she has the best of the time and weight rates.

17:00 5:00 Cheltenham

Anno Power

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

The trainer had two winners here yesterday and runs two in this. Both would have a chance and narrow marginal preference is for Johnnie Burke's mount which has a more recent run and better time figure.

14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Cottie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Skelton gets back on today and after three flops since coming over from Ireland she looks well treated now. Top on the clock by some way and looks sure to go close for another large pot for the trainer's championship effort.

Gilbertina

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

She had to give the last ounce at Rasen and held on by a short head. Cottie was a mile behind that day and ran no race but the other three behind her that day may not turn it around.

14:32 2:32 Ripon

Galactic Charm

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

He has shaped very much like a stayer and after three seconds on various surfaces, this step up to 12 furlongs should do the trick. Top on time and weight rates and a promising claimer aboard.

13:30 1:30 Cheltenham

Max Of Stars

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

A rare trip to Cheltenham for the erstwhile champ and he has won three on this one. Sure to be some well treated opposition but he is a game and resolute galloper and if in contention at the bottom of the hill, is sure to be there at the top,

17 April 2024

18:30 6:30 Kempton

Sir Les Patterson

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

The rider continues as a fully fleedged pro where he left off as an apprentice, a budding and hopefully exceptional talent. The horse is named after a cultural anti-hero but he has been a model of rectitude so far and has the best of the figures for this race.

17:30 5:30 Kempton

Pianoforte

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

A long timr off but the yard has been in decent form and this one is top on weight and time factors and may well be the class act in the field.

14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Native American

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

The yard is expensive to follow but with winners yesterday and top time figure here, this is one of the more likely to win and at the right kind of price.

14:05 2:05 Cheltenham

Lallygag

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@11.00

Lose

-50

Every penny counts for NIcholls as he tries to equal Pipe's record of Championships. This one is a big price considering it holds the top speed figure and Cobden has his own reason to keep focus.

13:30 1:30 Cheltenham

Peaky Boy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.00

Win

The price has contracted somewhat since last night but evens or above is ok I suppose. Plenty of potential and top on the clock and now the yard seesms to be getting its mojo back.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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